Live Updates

30

Jul 2026

英镑兑日元下跌，市场对干预的担忧升温；英伦银行维持利率不变，投票分歧偏鹰派

日元强势拖累GBP/JPY自218跌2.4%至213，美元兑日元失守160引发干预猜测。英央行3.75%按兵不动但6-3偏鹰。RSI仅15，波动率料飙，宜期权做多波动。

30

Jul 2026

美国EIA天然气库存增幅不及预期，供需趋紧并上调Henry Hub价格前景

EIA：美国天然气库存仅增28Bcf，低于预期35Bcf，热浪推高发电用气致供需趋紧。近月或上行，可布局亨利港看涨/多9月，并留意10-1月价差与LNG流量。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变后金价反弹，但道明证券指出仓位限制或令金价难破每盎司4,200美元

FOMC按兵不动助金价反弹，但TD称加息预期仅延后至12月，难改格局。CTA空头压制，4,200/4,300美元成关键门槛；建议卖出价外看涨，主打区间。

30

Jul 2026

疑似日圆干预后，欧元/日圆走低；日本央行决议料主导波动

日元突袭式走强令EUR/JPY急挫2.54%至182.60、USD/JPY破161，疑似当局干预再现。BoJ决议在即，关注短天期JPY看涨与波动率策略，偏好逢反弹做空EUR/JPY。

30

Jul 2026

欧元/美元走高，美联储维持利率不变、美国数据疲软及欧元区增长提振欧元

紧盯1.1534突破：美GDP与核心PCE走弱压低美元、DXY逼近100；欧元区GDP意外回升提振欧元。策略：买入9月欧元看涨/牛市价差，防波动与地缘风险。

30

Jul 2026

日元走强，央行干预传闻再起，日本央行政策决议前市场关注升温

日元美盘突飙，美元/日元跌至159.50引爆“干预”猜想！市场紧盯日银决议与指引；美GDP逊预期、利差收窄助日元，建议用期权控波动风险。

30

Jul 2026

美元/日元走低，疲弱美国数据与美联储按兵不动令市场焦点转向日本央行决议

美元/日元跌至162.90：美国GDP仅1.5%与PCE降温压低美元。焦点转向日本央行，若释出年内加息，恐引发快速回吐。策略：短期买Put或熊市价差。

30

Jul 2026

美联储鹰派按兵不动后美元走软，收益率曲线趋陡且油价支撑美债收益率，股市小幅走高

美联储鹰派按兵不动，美元仍弱、DXY跌破101.50；7月加息押注降温致曲线陡峭化。原油受控升级稳于70-100。策略：做空美元、做陡峭化、卖原油期权。

30

Jul 2026

俄罗斯国际储备升至7320亿美元，在制裁下巩固储备缓冲

俄罗斯央行国际储备升至7,321亿美元，周增92亿逼近高位。制裁下仍显韧性，黄金与能源出口支撑。交易者关注油金强势、货币波动收敛与CDS风险降温。

30

Jul 2026

英镑在英伦银行分歧按兵不动后跳涨，但市场料对欧元和美元的涨势将趋弱

英镑因英央行6–3偏鹰按兵不动短线飙升0.3%，但通胀二轮效应乏力，9月加息预期或降温。TD建议逢高做空GBP/USD、做多EUR/GBP看0.86。

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