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31

Jul 2026

美元跌破100点，疲弱美国数据与日元飙升引发干预传闻

增长与核心通胀不如预期压垮美元，DXY跌破100；日元急升疑似干预助推。欧元英镑走强，金银飙升。策略：买DXY看跌、USDJPY跨式、做多欧美与白银期权。

31

Jul 2026

中国政治局释放财政加力信号但不搞大刺激，提振中国资产并推升收益率风险

7月政治局偏克制：不搞大刺激，改靠H2 2026加速财政落地。剩余7.2万亿支出或推GDP回升。交易：买恒指短CALL、做空10年国债期货，另以USD/CNH OTM CALL对冲。

30

Jul 2026

林吉特承压走低，美国国债收益率、霍尔木兹风险与州选举推高波动

令吉承压：美债高收益率、中东油运扰动与国内州选不确定性或推高USD/MYR波动。策略：买短期看涨或做多跨式，对冲贬值并捕捉双向机会。

30

Jul 2026

韩国收紧杠杆型ETF监管提振韩元；押注韩国央行收紧政策，美元/韩元跌至五个月低点

韩元强势来袭：USD/KRW跌0.7%至1,444创低。韩国收紧杠杆ETF压波动，叠加央行鹰派与出口回流，汇率或续跌；关注做空、KRW看涨与IRS。

30

Jul 2026

欧元区GDP增速与美国持平，AI与航空航天支撑韧性，应对能源驱动的通胀冲击

欧元区Q2 GDP意外+0.4%展韧性，建议布局欧元走强：买EUR/USD价外看涨。美国进口拖累但需求热，押注降息不快。聚焦航天国防与电气化期权机会。

30

Jul 2026

随着各国央行回流黄金与东方定价权崛起，黄金表现超越美国国债

黄金据称超越美债成首要储备，央行加速黄金回流本土压缩纸黄金供给；香港—上金所联通强化东方定价，西方空头挤压风险升温，CME延长交易难解实物短缺。

30

Jul 2026

沃什称美联储暂停降息恐致市场错价；伊朗供应冲击推升油价，加剧滞胀忧虑

美联储暂停加息押注“暂时性通胀”，但美伊战推升能源化肥成本，供给冲击或令通胀更黏。SOFR/TIPS与期权疑低估急转鹰派、滞胀风险。

30

Jul 2026

Petar Jaćimović 概述布局：WTI 原油买入策略以回补缺口为目标

WTI交易简报抛出买入思路：以“补缺口”策略捕捉回补行情与潜在反弹机会；作者为Petar Jaćimović，1989年7月8日生于塞尔维亚雅戈丁那。

30

Jul 2026

美联储按兵不动带动半导体股反弹，纳指走高；银行与矿业股推动富时100指数创历史新高

半导体买盘点燃全球反弹：纳指劲扬、富时100再创新高。美联储按兵不动压低美元，带动商品急弹。财报季将验升势，期权策略成关键护航。

30

Jul 2026

英国央行维持利率在3.75%，反对票增多；SONIA期货被视为低估

英伦银行维持3.75%利率，投票更分歧但通胀预测下修。市场仍押两次加息或错价：做多SONIA期货、买价外payer对冲，并布局英债2/10年曲线变陡。

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