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Live Updates

31

Jul 2026

东京CPI意外走强推升日元，交易员押注日本央行加息概率上升

东京7月CPI与核心CPI齐升、通胀更黏性，市场押注日银秋季加息；美元/日圆跌破160、日圆转强。交易员宜用看跌价差对冲，并留意强日圆压制黄金。

31

Jul 2026

东京核心-核心通胀率7月升至2%，加剧市场对日本央行加息的押注

东京7月核心CPI升至2%逼近目标，通胀动能回温或促日央行加息预期升温。日元或走强、日债收益率上行；出口股承压，期权对冲需求升。

31

Jul 2026

东京7月CPI回升至2%，强化第三季度初通胀压力

东京7月CPI按年升2%高于前值，暗示通胀压力再抬头。东京都指标常作全国风向标，但细项缺席，市场仍待更多解读与政策信号。

31

Jul 2026

日本失业率维持在2.5%，日本央行政策正常化步伐不变

日本6月失业率持平2.5%稳中偏紧，为央行续推正常化开绿灯：做空JGB/付固定互换，布局收益率上行；USD/JPY买看跌押注日元反弹；日经225买沽对冲。

31

Jul 2026

美元兑日元在沉重卖压下暴跌5日元，市场聚焦日本央行决议与美国数据

美元兑日元突现闪崩：跌破50日EMA、逼近200日EMA，疑似81亿美元抛盘引爆。美GDP与核心PCE偏弱助攻，市场转盯周五日银决议与加息路径。

31

Jul 2026

日元反弹令市场聚焦日本央行决议，干预猜测升温

日元疑似干预急弹，美元/日元闪崩引爆BoJ决议悬念。市场盯植田记者会与展望报告信号：1%利率料按兵不动，但年内或再加息25bp。

31

Jul 2026

估算显示：中国隐性购金缩小与美国储备差距，香港打造黄金清算枢纽

中国隐性购金或令中美黄金差距大幅收窄：估算中国持金或超5,000吨，伦敦OTC吸纳强劲。金价底部更稳，香港清算与新HAU推定价权东移，交易员宜偏多布局。

31

Jul 2026

美国黄金审计疑云与中国买盘激增，推动金价看多预期升温

美国8,133.5吨黄金缺独立审计引信任赤字；中国申报2,346吨却疑远超披露，隐性买盘成底。高盛看2026金价4,900美元，关注回调期权布局。

31

Jul 2026

美联储按兵不动，三名委员投反对票；在指引趋于温和且资产负债表上升之际，长端美债遭抛售

前瞻指引缩水+三票主张加息，美联储“可预测时代”终结！美债长端收益率飙升、MOVE或破120；资产负债表暗扩张6.75万亿，波动率与多资产期权机会浮现。

31

Jul 2026

苹果因服务业务不及预期走低，亚马逊凭借AWS带动业绩超预期大涨

财报分化掀波动：苹果EPS、营收亮眼却因服务不及预期盘后跌4%；亚马逊靠AWS提速盘后飙8%。可用期权配对：多AMZN看涨、做空AAPL。

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