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6

Aug 2026

英镑兑美元持稳，美国就业数据在非农公布前保持强劲，霍尔木兹风险仍挥之不去

非农前美元韧性压制，英镑守稳1.3466反弹；初请与裁员降、建筑PMI回升。技术站均线密集区上方偏多，关注1.3523/1.3554阻力，警惕霍尔木兹风险推升波动。

6

Aug 2026

金价逼近4,260美元守住七周高位，美元走软、伊朗谈判及美国就业数据成焦点

金价续涨至4,260美元、逼近七周高位：美元美债走弱+中东水道谈判推升波动。非农前可用跨式捕捉急波；偏好牛市看跌价差收权利金，等破4,304或回踩4,248再进。

6

Aug 2026

布伦特油价企稳于80美元上方，伊朗—阿曼海峡临时航运协定考验油市与美元情绪

伊朗—阿曼暂行“航运管理”协议仅4–6个月，市场更谨慎；油价80美元上方徘徊、隐波或回落。谈判若再崩，险价飙升；可用WTI虚值看涨与跨式对冲，并布局美元走弱、买加元。

6

Aug 2026

美元兑日元维持在158.20附近，非农数据公布在即，干预风险仍挥之不去

非农前美元/日圆回稳158.20、日圆连四弱；劳市数据影响有限。期权波动料升温，跨式/宽跨式布局。警惕东京再干预与伊朗风险，关注157.57-158.28。

6

Aug 2026

荷兰合作银行称：在“氛围经济学”带动信心回升下，英国储蓄缓冲将推动需求短期回升

英国家庭1500亿镑储蓄或成短期“引擎”！若政府叙事转向vibonomics带动信心，储蓄率下滑可推升GDP并利好英镑、FTSE250，但无改革难持久。

6

Aug 2026

美元指数在七周低位附近整固，受制于100阻力下方空头偏向延续

美元指数跌后在七周低位盘整，仍偏空：100成阻力，99.50若失守恐加速下探99/98.41。衍生品可用虚值看跌或熊市价差，把握破位行情并防地缘反弹。

6

Aug 2026

油价守在80美元附近，伊朗—阿曼就霍尔木兹航道展开对话缓解供应担忧，建议通过期权进行对冲

油价守80美元但暗流涌动：伊朗称与阿曼拟建霍尔木兹航道或降断供忧虑，美方态度未明；爆炸与胡塞威胁抬风险溢价。策略：买布伦特OTM看涨/跨式，关注Brent-WTI价差。

6

Aug 2026

美国6月批发库存增长0.2%，不及预期，削弱GDP支撑

美国6月批发库存仅增0.2%逊预期，二季末库存降温或拖累GDP，却扩大小幅降息空间；债券偏多、消费ETF牛市价差，同时用工业/运输看跌期权对冲。

6

Aug 2026

罗素期货自“蓝色框”支撑反弹，交易员关注突破3,068寻求下一波上行

罗素期货三浪回调触及“蓝盒”2,901-2,822等距极端区间，买盘介入引发反弹；后市两路径：破3,068创新高或三浪反弹。交易以50%回撤控风险，触及即移保本分批止盈。

6

Aug 2026

英镑在1.3460附近持稳，投资者等待美国就业数据并测试1.3500阻力位

英镑/美元维持1.3400-1.3500窄幅盘整，聚焦周五美国非农与初请数据。美元偏弱支撑但1.3500受阻。策略：区间卖权利金、买跨式押突破与波动。

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