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8

Aug 2026

伊朗—阿曼航运谈判降温油价，美债收益率回落、美元走弱，市场押注美联储政策转向

美债收益率全线下滑，伊朗—阿曼协议传闻压低油价；非农爆冷令9月加息概率降至30%，美元走弱。关注利率多头期权、欧元看涨及WTI看跌布局。

8

Aug 2026

在国内生产总值优于预期、通胀降温且印尼央行行长候选名单即将出炉之际，印尼盾守在18,000以下

印尼盾守稳18,000下方、创两周低收；GDP与通胀双利好、油价走软撑盘。关注8月央行换帅及财政赤字风险，期权宜卖波动、区间偏下。

8

Aug 2026

阿根廷工业产出6月重返增长，提振股市与主权债券看涨论调

阿根廷6月工业产出同比转正至+2%，较前值-5.7%强劲反弹7.7个百分点。意外复苏或引爆资产重估：关注GGAL、YPF看涨期权与2030/2035美元债牛市价差策略。

8

Aug 2026

美国疲软就业数据提振日元，欧元/日元走低；市场聚焦干预与霍尔木兹海峡风险

EUR/JPY跌后回稳仍偏弱，主因美国就业疲弱推升日元与干预阴影。伊朗及霍尔木兹风险添波动。关注182关口，短期用看跌期权防突发日元走强。

8

Aug 2026

贝克休斯美国石油钻机数高于预期，凸显供应韧性并限制WTI上行空间

意外！贝克休斯：美国石油钻井平台454座，高于预期2座，凸显供应韧性，WTI上行受限。短线或区间偏弱，宜卖虚值看涨/熊市价差，并买入看跌期权对冲。

8

Aug 2026

英镑交投区间徘徊于1.3500附近，交易员权衡英伦银行按兵不动与美联储降息几率

英镑逼近1.3500关口却难突破，后市或放大波动！守住200日均线偏多，上破1.3558看1.36/1.3653；失守1.3417恐下探1.3406/1.3365。

8

Aug 2026

美元/新元小幅走高，但在1.2850受阻；空头静待跌破1.2790

USD/SGD 反弹收1.2835但料受1.2850强阻压制。1–3周仍偏空，仅“干净”跌破并站稳1.2790才确认转弱；否则维持区间震荡、轻杠杆。

8

Aug 2026

美国就业数据疲弱拖累美元，墨西哥比索走强；通胀降温之际，墨西哥央行维持利率不变

美国疲弱非农打压美元，墨西哥披索走强至17.18；通胀降温、Banxico稳健维持6.50%利率。抓利差做套息，偏空USD/MXN，关注17.45阻力与15.69支撑。

7

Aug 2026

欧元/美元小幅走高，美元走软及市场重新定价美联储政策，焦点仍在关键移动均线阻力

非农疲弱拖累美元，EUR/USD逼近七周高位1.1562，挑战100日均线“天花板”。CPI成关键催化剂；可布局短期欧元看涨/牛市价差，兼配保护性看跌控险。

7

Aug 2026

金价飙升突破4,300美元，疲弱美国非农拖累美债收益率与美元；市场聚焦CPI

非农爆冷拖累美债与美元，金价飙升：XAU/USD周涨逾7%至4340。9月加息概率降至30%。CPI将成下个引爆点，技术上挑战4390、目标4450-4500。

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