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Live Updates

8

Aug 2026

星展银行称新加坡第二季GDP或将上调，官方2026年增长预测上调概率增加

DBS料新加坡2Q26 GDP上修至+5.9%，制造业服务业齐走强；政府或上调全年预测。交易员可趁势布局强新元、做多STI，并押注SORA高位。

8

Aug 2026

美伊阿曼会谈提升霍尔木兹海峡重开希望，油价承压，交易员严阵以待波动加剧

美伊阿曼会谈传进展，霍尔木兹或重开、美方或解封！油价波动溢价恐回落，布伦特或跌5%-8%；但若破局，油价或冲90美元。

8

Aug 2026

干预后英镑/日元守住200日均线，阻力位限制反弹幅度

英镑兑日元跌穿200日均线后迅速收复，暂守211.91见短底，但干预阴影下偏弱。上方214.48/215.42压制，关注211.00跌破风险与期权区间策略。

8

Aug 2026

渣打预计菲律宾央行8月按兵不动，并维持鹰派立场；降息时间推迟至2027年

意外转向：渣打料菲律宾央行8月按兵不动但仍偏鹰；2027年或两次降息。下调GDP、通胀与利率预测，建议收固定、做多国债，并以远期/期权对冲比索走弱。

8

Aug 2026

美元指数跌破100关口，市场聚焦美国CPI，疲弱非农数据令美联储利率前景生变

非农爆冷拖累美元指数跌破100！CPI成降息拐点：建议布局DXY短Put与跨式，欧元看涨、英镑对冲、日元控风险；金价守4300，关注RBA与中国通胀。

8

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示，随着净持仓趋向中性，投机者大幅削减日元空头仓位

日元空头急速退潮！CFTC 显示非商业净持仓大幅回归中性，净空由¥-163.4K 收窄至¥-45.5K，投机看空降温，下行压力明显缓和。

8

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：原油投机净多头回落，增加短期WTI下行风险

CFTC显示原油净多头降至11.24万份，资金对反弹信心转弱；历史或触发WTI回调5%-8%并测试72美元。交易者宜减看涨，改用保护性认沽或熊市价差。

8

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示，随着投机性看空押注增加，标普500净空头加深至-2.73万手

警讯：CFTC显示标普500净持仓转更空，-17.2K降至-27.3K创区间最负。空头扩张或引发3%-5%回撤、VIX上冲15%-20%；宜用保护性看跌/熊差防守，防空回补急涨。

8

Aug 2026

美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）数据显示，投机者将黄金净多头仓位增至19.76万份合约

黄金投机多头逼近20万合约！CFTC显示非商业净持仓升至197.6K，看涨情绪升温。关注回调做多与期权牛市价差；警惕拥挤交易、设止损并盯每周数据。

8

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着交易员解除对英镑的看空押注，英镑净空仓收窄

CFTC显示英镑净空由-64.8k收窄至-57.8k，空头回补或引发挤压。英国增长韧性、通胀黏性支撑利率偏高，关注GBP/USD看涨期权与EUR/GBP做空机会。

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