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10

Aug 2026

巴基斯坦金价回落；央行需求与卢比波动下，交易员权衡逢低买入

巴基斯坦金价周一回落：每克38,554卢比、每托拉449,674；盎司逾119万。短线回调或成买点：若美元指数失守101.8叠加降息，金价或加速上行。央行买盘与汇率波动支撑，建议期货牛市价差或远期看涨期权控险布局。

10

Aug 2026

由于日本央行立场分歧及日本经常账户赤字拖累日元，美元/日元小幅走高

美元/日元回升至158.20：日银意见分歧+经常账户意外转赤压制日元；中东紧张推升避险美元。交易员关注波动，布局短期美元看涨与敲出防守。

10

Aug 2026

英镑从1.3500回落，疲弱美国就业数据抑制美元反弹，中东风险升温

英镑兑美元回吐1.3500突破涨幅：就业转弱压低9月加息机率，但中东与油价托美元。CPI与英国Q2 GDP前，期权跨式/宽跨捕捉波动。

10

Aug 2026

日本央行对下一步利率调整分歧加剧，通胀风险升温、日元疲软持续

日本央行7月会议纪要曝内部分歧：该暂停观察或继续加息？通胀上行风险、日元偏弱与AI需求交织，收紧节奏或快过市场预期，USD/JPY守158。

10

Aug 2026

WTI油价企稳于79美元附近，霍尔木兹谈判接近达成协议；中东供应风险犹存，供需仍偏紧

WTI亚洲反弹至79.40美元，霍尔木兹重启仍存变数且袭击频传；供应转短缺支撑油价。想抢波动？可部署跨式/宽跨式，紧盯库存与航运消息。

10

Aug 2026

日本6月国际收支（BoP）贸易差额转为1352亿日元赤字，拖累日元前景

日本6月BOP贸易收支骤转1352亿日元逆差，较前月恶化1421亿。进口成本拖累、日元承压。交易员可布局USD/JPY看涨期权或牛市价差，并关注交叉盘波动套利。

10

Aug 2026

日本6月经常账户转为923亿日元赤字，未达预期的1.51万亿日元盈余

日本6月经常账意外转为923亿日元赤字，远逊预期1.51兆顺差，日元或急贬、波动率飙升。策略：买USD/JPY虚值看涨；防JGB收益率上行；日股或短线受惠。

10

Aug 2026

日本银行放贷增长7月放缓，降温市场对日本央行收紧政策押注并拖累日元

日本7月银行贷款年增5.4%逊预期，暗示BOJ紧缩降温更快。升息压力缓和或拖累日元；可布局USD/JPY看涨。JGB收益率或回落、日股与出口商受惠。

10

Aug 2026

尽管美国非农就业数据下滑，全球股市仍创历史新高，分化加剧并推升对冲需求

非农骤降、前值大幅下修，美国基本面转弱却遇全球股市创新高分化。金银飙升、债券反弹、油价回落。警惕背离与日食窗口，布局认沽/VIX。

10

Aug 2026

纳斯达克在加息概率降温、美国通胀数据公布前展现相对强势

科技股续强、QQQ再赢SPY；数据推高“9月不加息”押注却难掩震荡。领导扩散、广度回暖，轮动加速。下周CPI/PPI成关键，非农或引爆更广泛上涨。

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