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Live Updates

10

Aug 2026

美元指数跌破100，地缘政治缓和与美国数据转弱拖累美联储政策前景

DXY跌破100徘徊低位：地缘风险溢价退潮、美国就业转弱压制美元。关键看CPI与200日线99.18，若失守或迅探97.5；期权布局看跌防反弹。

10

Aug 2026

美元指数企稳于99.50附近，非农就业数据不及预期，市场焦点转向美国通胀数据

非农疲弱拖累美元指数，99.50关键支撑岌岌可危！周三7月通胀或进一步降温，强化降息预期；若跌破99.50或下探99.00，策略偏向买入看跌期权。

10

Aug 2026

英镑逼近1.3500，疲弱美国就业数据与油价下挫令焦点转向CPI与英国GDP

英镑兑美元逼近1.3500，受疲弱美国就业与油价回落支撑；本周聚焦美国CPI、英国GDP与地缘风险。突破或冲1.3535，跌破1.3436恐转弱。

10

Aug 2026

穆迪确认罗马尼亚评级维持Baa3，债券抛售压力缓解，列伊汇率稳定在5.25附近

穆迪确认罗马尼亚Baa3、负面展望不变，叠加惠誉按兵不动，ROMGB抛压缓解。央行料利率6.50%久留，EUR/RON锚定5.25下方，区间期权与互换接收浮现交易窗口。

10

Aug 2026

欧元/加元走高，欧元区信心回升提振欧元；霍尔木兹风险下，与油价联动的加元限制涨幅

EUR/CAD 三连跌后反弹至1.6120，Sentix转正提振欧元；加元受WTI 77.2与霍尔木兹风险牵制。紧缩将破？关注跨式策略，兼顾油价冲击化工股期权机会。

10

Aug 2026

美元下滑，疲弱美国就业数据促使市场重估美联储前景，澳洲联储决议前交投谨慎

美国非农意外转负且大幅下修，薪资降温、美元与收益率走弱，联储加息预期降温；焦点转向明日RBA决议与指引，澳元期权多空对冲布局。

10

Aug 2026

英国第二季GDP增速放缓，市场押注英伦银行进一步收紧政策，英镑面临压力

英国Q2 GDP或降至0.3%-0.4%，消费转弱拖累内需；若数据不及预期，掉期加息50bp定价恐下修，英镑上行动能或熄火，宜布局看跌对冲。

10

Aug 2026

美国非农就业数据疲软打击美元，推动欧元兑美元走强，市场下调9月美联储加息预期

美国非农爆冷拖累美元，欧元/美元冲上1.1581；市场仅定价9月加息11bp。交易员可买欧元看涨、DXY看跌，并布局欧元区利率与GDP催化。

10

Aug 2026

丹麦7月通胀放缓至1.7%，强化降息押注并提振债券需求

丹麦7月CPI按年降至1.7%跌破2%！通胀降温为央行跟随欧央行偏鸽打开空间；利率掉期或计入降息，做多国债期货、低波动EUR/DKK期权对冲成焦点。

10

Aug 2026

随着原油上涨、市场对美联储加息押注降温，卢比走弱推动美元/印度卢比逼近95.25

油价飙升+霍尔木兹风险升温，卢比开盘走弱，USD/INR反弹至95.25；DXY回稳至99.70。非农转差令9月加息概率降至46%，建议原油偏多、USD/INR看跌并用铁鹰控风险。

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