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Live Updates

20

Aug 2026

澳洲失业率升至4.5%且就业人数下滑，抑制加息预期

澳洲7月失业率意外升至4.5%，就业净减1.58万、参与率回落，澳元走软。RBA加息压力减，降温效应或扁平收益率曲线，波动机会浮现。

20

Aug 2026

随着紧缩立场延续、政策信号趋于精简，美联储考虑将FOMC会议次数削减至六次

联储或将FOMC年会从8次减至6次，释放更谨慎信号；同时删前瞻、精简声明、跳过预测。7月决议9-3、三人主张加息；非农转负，8/28基准修订成焦点。

20

Aug 2026

欧元持稳于逾两个月半高位，温和的美国债券收益率抵消美联储会议纪要偏鹰影响

欧元兑美元涨0.85%至1.1678，两月半高位；美债收益率走软抵消美联储鹰派纪要。欧区通胀升温，ECB九月加息概率88%，谨慎偏多看1.1849。

20

Aug 2026

金价上涨：美联储会议纪要显示三名鹰派异议者，美国国债收益率下滑提振金市

美联储纪要现三票加息异议，黄金飙至4,482美元、涨3.5%，美债回购讨论压低收益率与美元。聚焦4,500关口：破位看涨期权，失守以put对冲。

20

Aug 2026

道指小幅走高；美国财政部将长期国债回购上限翻倍，财政赤字压力下收益率回落

美财政部拟将长期债回购上限翻倍，虽9月才启动，已压低美债收益率、推升道指至53,600。赤字与海外减持添隐忧，关注纪要与PMI，53,800受压偏空。

20

Aug 2026

英镑区服务业通胀降温、欧元区物价压力持续，欧元兑英镑逼近两周高位

EUR/GBP 突破区间上探两周高位0.8570：英服务通胀降温、欧区2.9%偏粘性。关注0.8561–0.8563支撑；建议短期看涨期权或回调做多，0.8550下方控风险。

19

Aug 2026

俄罗斯7月生产者价格下滑2.5%，在可能降息预期支撑下通缩押注升温

俄罗斯7月PPI环比暴跌2.5%，通缩意外加深！工业端降温或迫使央行松口，OFZ收益率看跌；交易者可布局接收利率互换、债期看涨，并对冲乌拉尔油走弱。

19

Aug 2026

比特币稳守在6.5万美元附近，黄金逼近4,500美元，受美联储会议纪要与中东紧张局势影响

中东紧张+美联储纪要或点燃波动：比特币守6.5万、阻力在66,353；黄金逼近4,500。策略偏黄金逢回调、BTC做区间铁鹰，并用跨式对冲。

19

Aug 2026

英镑走强，美国国债回购压低收益率；美联储会议纪要公布前美元走高

美财政部回购长债压低收益率与美元，英镑兑美元冲高至1.3630后回落；RSI逼近超买宜买短期看跌对冲，关注Fed纪要、油价与英央行利率错价。

19

Aug 2026

美国财政部回购推动长端债券走强，拉低10年期美债收益率并打压美元

美财部意外加码长期国债回购至每次至少40亿美元，压低10年与30年期收益率并拖累美元。交易上可布局长债看涨期权、卖宽跨收权利金，关注FOMC纪要与20年标售。

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