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Live Updates

5

Sep 2026

道指下挫，因美国非农就业数据远超预期推升9月加息概率；贸易威胁增添压力

非农爆表推升9月加息概率超60%，两年美债飙至4.40%压制道指跌破53,400；总统贸易威胁叠加油价高企，PPI/CPI前波动升温，期权偏空对冲成焦点。

4

Sep 2026

英镑收复跌幅，美国非农数据震动英镑/美元；贝利言论打压降息预期

非农爆表掀起汇市震荡：英镑兑美元一度跌至1.3482后反弹至1.3512。贝利强调政策灵活，降温9月加息预期；短线受阻1.3550，1.3500成关键。

4

Sep 2026

美国数据料显示整体通胀走高；英国增长降温之际，欧洲央行料加息，拉美走势分化

下周关键数据来袭：美国通胀或因能源反弹但核心仍稳，房市续冷；欧央行料再加息探物价扩散；英增速放缓；墨通胀微升促延长暂停；巴通胀回落挺再降息。

4

Sep 2026

美元指数跌破100点，交易员严阵以待欧洲央行决议及美国关键数据潮

美元失守100徘徊99，数据周+央行决议或引爆波动！聚焦9/8起美通胀就业，9/10欧央行料降息；策略：DXY跨式、欧元防跌、英镑设止损、日元偏强、澳元续看涨。

4

Sep 2026

非农就业数据引发波动后，欧元/美元反弹；美元涨势停滞，200日均线限制上行空间

非农引爆欧元兑美元急震后反弹，陷100/200日均线夹缝。RSI偏多、MACD收敛；突破1.1634看1.17/1.18，跌破1.1564警惕回落1.1508/1.14。

4

Sep 2026

德国商业银行警示霍尔木兹海峡航运流量不确定性，布伦特原油静待EIA、IEA、OPEC及中国贸易数据

霍尔木兹通行数据矛盾拖累布伦特前景，期权波动率料走高。聚焦EIA/IEA/OPEC与中国贸易；电动车转型压需求，建议保护性看跌或做多跨式应对。

4

Sep 2026

特朗普在8月非农就业数据优于预期后敦促美联储更大幅度降息，并将政策与贸易威胁挂钩

非农增16.2万后，特朗普再逼Fed大降息，甚至以停贸施压。强数据撞政治压力，波动或飙升；建议短期VIX对冲、SOFR看涨及美元兑欧日与跨式布局。

4

Sep 2026

美国招聘激增推高美联储9月加息概率，欧元/美元跌破1.16

爆点来了：美国就业强劲重燃9月加息押注，期货定价约60%，美债收益率高企、美元走强压低欧元跌破1.16；下周CPI将一锤定音，波动或放大。

4

Sep 2026

加拿大艾维采购经理指数（Ivey PMI）飙升至64.3，超预期并重塑加元与利率预期

加拿大艾维PMI 8月飙至64.3、远超预期56.2，经济意外转强！加元与短端利率或重估：可布局USD/CAD短期期权多头、做空BAX，并关注TSX能源看涨机会。

4

Sep 2026

美国非农就业数据超预期；CPI公布前，美联储9月加息概率小幅上升

非农新增16.2万推升加息押注：9月定价升至16bp。失业率4.1%、薪资温和但集中。市场转盯CPI（整体0.4%、核心0.2%），建议做空SOFR、买美元期权与TLT跨式。

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