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Live Updates

8

Sep 2026

日元走强风险引发去杠杆化，冲击套利交易及易受影响的全球股市板块

日元走强或触发套息平仓，外溢成流动性挤压：股市先卖“赢家”，美元走弱更伤外资回报。紧盯AI拥挤交易、信用利差、波动率与外资流向。

8

Sep 2026

美国NFIB小企业乐观指数8月下滑至98.7，低于预期

美国8月NFIB小企业乐观指数仅98.7，逊于预期99.3、低0.6点；信心意外转弱，暗示小企业经营短期动能偏疲，为市场评估前景增添警讯。

8

Sep 2026

野村维持做多欧元/美元，德国选择党选举斩获未能撼动欧元市场

AfD在德国州选得票升温，却未撼动欧元：市场视为地方事件。野村仍看多EUR/USD，料守1.10-1.12，建议1-2个月1.13看涨期权；防德法政治黑天鹅，配1.08看跌对冲。

8

Sep 2026

美元/印度卢比维持在94中段区间，印度央行流动性盈余扩大，通胀风险推高收益率

油价走高与美联储加息预期撑美元，USD/INR 在94中段料偏上行震荡。RBI外储充足防急贬，但流动性回收+通胀上行或推升印债收益率。

8

Sep 2026

美国非农就业反弹，市场关注9月通胀与美联储加息概率；英镑走弱，日元受关注

美国8月非农猛增16.2万、前值上修提振经济韧性，但美元反应克制；市场转盯9/11核心CPI 3.4%与9/16加息60%，英镑走弱、日元或获干预支撑。

8

Sep 2026

印度卢比从两个月高位回落，油价攀升，市场关注美国通胀数据

卢比从高位回吐，USD/INR反弹至94.75；美元转软却遭油价走强抵消。布伦特逼近102美元，CPI前波动或放大：95.13是关键阻力，94.15为支撑。

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