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1

Jul 2026

阿联酋金价回软，因美联储降息押注降温与机构需求左右后市展望

阿联酋金价周三回落：每克469.89迪拉姆。别急着看空——降息预期升温压美元，央行与ETF持续加仓，期权波动率低，或是逢低布局窗口。

1

Jul 2026

巴基斯坦金价回落，投资者权衡美元走弱、美联储降息押注与央行买盘

巴基斯坦金价周三回落：每克PKR 35,494、每托拉PKR 413,998。美元走弱与降息预期增强支撑后市，央行续买250吨，逢低布局看涨期权。

1

Jul 2026

印尼核心通胀超预期，强化印尼央行鹰派立场并支撑卢比

印尼6月核心通胀飙至2.76%超预期，潜在压力更韧。市场押注BI持续鹰派、降息几无望：印尼盾或续强，10年债息冲7.2%，利率上行交易升温。

1

Jul 2026

欧洲央行的德马尔科指出，在下一轮预测发布前或暂停加息，欧元兑美元走软

ECB管委：或等下轮预测再决定是否继续收紧，二轮效应与薪资压力未见脱锚、油价回落。市场仍押注9月加息70%偏高；欧元承压，短端利率与卖波动率机会浮现。

1

Jul 2026

英镑兑美元回落，GBP/USD在1.3300关口受阻，贝利与沃什讲话前走势承压

英镑兑美元自1.3275回落至1.3235，市场紧盯贝利与沃什讲话。技术面受制1.3260-1.3300，RSI/MACD分化；1.3139若破恐续跌，期权策略抢波动。

1

Jul 2026

印尼6月CPI超预期升温加息押注，提振卢比前景并施压债券

印尼6月通胀按月0.44%爆冷高于预期，食品与交通推升；市场重估7月印尼央行偏鹰甚至加息。印尼盾短撑、债息上行，股市承压宜防御对冲。

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