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1

Jul 2026

亚洲货币料选择性反弹，美元涨势降温；数据转弱下印尼盾料领跑

美元涨势或放缓，亚洲货币迎选择性反弹窗口。油价受控减轻外部与通胀压力，印尼盾料相对跑赢；可考虑USD/IDR买入看跌期权或价差，捕捉潜在升值。

1

Jul 2026

金价持稳于4,015美元附近，因多哈美伊谈判前景不明，且美国关键就业数据将公布

金价徘徊4,015美元，悬念在多哈美伊谈判真假与今明ADP、非农。地缘风险托底，但强就业或推升美元压金；期权对冲成关键。

1

Jul 2026

墨西哥5月财政赤字扩大至1,760亿比索，加重比索压力

墨西哥5月财政赤字惊扩至1761.5亿比索，按月恶化1390亿，比索承压。隐含波动率升破14%，市场或押注USD/MXN上探19.00，降息预期延后。

1

Jul 2026

爱尔兰6月消费者信心回升，提振内需型股票前景

爱尔兰6月消费者信心升至62.2，扭转疲弱，暗示内需回暖。零售与银行或受益，爱股相对欧股更具跑赢机会，可用EIRL期权价差捕捉上行。

1

Jul 2026

美元/新元上行动能减弱，大华银行转趋中性，关注1.2920–1.2950区间

USD/SGD跌破1.2925后动能转弱，UOB短线看中性，24小时料守1.2920–1.2950，1–3周区间1.2870–1.2970。更长线仍押注破1.3000，潜在上看1.3095。

1

Jul 2026

欧元在1.14附近陷入停滞，市场押注美联储收紧政策盖过欧元区通胀放缓影响

欧元兑美元上攻乏力徘徊1.14，风险情绪回暖也难救。美联储更鹰派、就业与通胀黏性撑美元；欧元区通胀降温，ECB或观望，政策分化扩大。

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