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20

Jul 2026

中国人民银行按兵不动维持贷款市场报价利率不变，澳元及亚太市场波动维持温和

爆点来了：人行按兵不动，1年LPR 3.00%、5年3.50%，澳元几乎无反应。亚太或陷低波动，宜卖出AUD/USD宽跨；商品缺刺激，铜铁矿买短Put对冲。

20

Jul 2026

中东紧张局势推升美元，欧元/美元徘徊于1.1430附近；聚焦欧洲央行议息会议

中东冲突推升油价与通胀忧虑，美元避险买盘压制欧元，EUR/USD守1.1430。霍尔木兹风险或抬升波动率；聚焦周四ECB，期权宜跨式捕捉波动并用保护性看跌对冲。

20

Jul 2026

美油（WTI）飙升至83美元上方，因美伊冲突升温引发对中东供应中断的担忧

美伊冲突升级恐扰霍尔木兹供应，WTI跳空站上83.5美元、7月涨近20%。高波动下可用牛市看涨价差、关注反向市场与日历价差，严控仓位防爆仓。

20

Jul 2026

中国人民银行维持关键政策利率在3%，中国货币政策立场保持稳健

抢先看：人民银行维持关键政策利率不变，基准利率续守3%，符合市场预期；FXStreet称仅为新闻采编更新，未见新政策措施、前瞻指引或数据。

20

Jul 2026

金价徘徊在4,000美元附近，美伊紧张局势推升油价并强化美联储加息押注

金价逼近4,000美元再受压：美伊冲突推油价、通胀忧虑升温，市场押注美联储9月加息概率61.4%。策略：短期买入看跌期权/熊差，防反弹用跨式并以原油看涨对冲。

20

Jul 2026

Rightmove指数7月跌幅扩大，加大英国楼市与英镑前景压力

英国Rightmove 7月要价指数环比跌1%，跌幅扩大、楼市降温超季节性。高按揭利率逼卖家降价。策略：买GBP看跌、做空建商、做多SONIA期货。

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