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20

Jul 2026

金价小幅走高：美元走软叠加中东风险与美联储更偏鹰派的利率前景

黄金趁美元走软小涨却乏力：中东冲突推升油价与通胀，市场押注美联储2026更鹰、压制金价。技术仍在下降通道，宜区间交易、4,056承压、3,663为支撑。

20

Jul 2026

加元维持在一个月高位附近，油价上涨与加拿大CPI引导美元/加元走势

加元守月高、美元/加元1.4000整固；聚焦加拿大CPI或降至2.9%。油价因霍尔木兹封锁飙20%挺加元，美联储加息预期降温；策略：买短期限跨式、守原油多头。

20

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎走软：美元转弱之际，叠加中东紧张局势与油价推升的美联储鹰派预期

USD/CHF跌破0.8100下探0.8060，美元转弱但中东冲突与油价飙升或掀反弹。盯0.8000支撑，期权布局汇率与原油，对冲通胀与鹰派利率风险。

20

Jul 2026

ECB SAFE调查显示价格压力降温，强化欧元区降息理据

ECB SAFE调查：逾5,000家企业料售价增速降至3.2%、成本涨幅降至5.2%，通胀压力退潮。降息理据升温：做多Euribor、收固定、买欧债期权；股偏多，EUR/USD买Put。

20

Jul 2026

英镑因押注伯纳姆领导权而走强，但分析师认为在欧元/英镑支撑守住下，上行空间有限

英镑受伯纳姆上台、马哈茂德或掌财相预期走强，叠加空头回补与并购资金流入。但财政紧绷压制上行；EUR/GBP 0.8470有撑，0.8400或夏季底。谨慎追涨。

20

Jul 2026

纽元/美元重拾升势，受新西兰联储与美联储政策分化支撑；0.5865限制涨幅

纽元/美元重回升势，0.5865成短线天花板！RBNZ偏鹰、联储转鸽支撑利差，但RSI近70示超买，慎防回调0.5835；突破看0.5910，震荡可用铁秃鹰。

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