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20

Jul 2026

纽约梅隆银行：受国际收支强劲支撑，拉美外汇走强，市场聚焦墨西哥数据

拉美外汇逆风仍稳？BNY称国际收支与套息改善支撑，资金流入缓冲美元走强；墨西哥数据温和不改降息；秘鲁索尔遭低配，回报或弱于他区。

20

Jul 2026

金价在4,010美元附近持稳，中东局势头条与美联储鹰派押注引发震荡行情

中东矛盾头条搅动金市，金价围绕4,010美元震荡；美元与油价反复牵制。技术偏弱、关注4,000支撑与4,200阻力，期权宜跨式捕捉波动。

20

Jul 2026

道明证券警告：油价推动的通胀与押注美联储加息或限制金银涨幅

油价因美伊冲突飙升推高通胀，市场押注2026年末加息。TD Securities称美元与收益率走强抬高carry成本，黄金逼近3900支撑、白银更弱，建议减多并用看跌策略。

20

Jul 2026

欧洲央行料维持利率在2.25%，市场计入9月加息预期，欧元区间盘整

欧央行料周四维持利率2.25%，坚持数据依赖；通胀略低、能源反弹偏弱。市场却押注9月再加息至2.75%，但增长疲弱恐修正预期，欧元或低波动区间震荡。

20

Jul 2026

纽元/美元稳守0.5850附近，美国通胀降温打压美元提振纽元

美国通胀转弱拖累美元，NZD/USD 回升至0.5850。市场下调美联储再收紧预期；RBNZ 偏鹰支撑纽元。惟中东风险升温压制风险情绪。

20

Jul 2026

加拿大通胀降温至2.8%，核心通胀跌破目标，强化市场对加拿大央行将维持利率不变直至2026年的预期

加拿大6月CPI降至2.8%，核心通胀跌破2%且压力受控。RBC料央行利率维持至2026年末；低波动下可卖USD/CAD短期期权、做CORRA日历价差并以加元看跌对冲。

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