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21

Jul 2026

瑞士法郎收窄跌幅，受伊朗停火谈判与油市风险影响，美元/瑞郎跌破0.8100

USD/CHF 跌势收窄：伊朗停火揣测令美元回吐，但冲突与油价高企支撑避险。策略：0.8100 附近买短期限看涨/做多跨式；原油牛市价差押注 85–95 美元。关注周五美国 PMI。

21

Jul 2026

美元企稳，中东紧张局势支撑油价；英镑、加元与纽元紧盯关键数据

中东冲突推升油价风险，汇市观望、美元偏强。英薪资降温、纽元受高通胀走高、加元承压关税。策略：买原油虚值看涨、做多美元、加元看跌价差。

21

Jul 2026

华侨银行警告：伯纳姆的财政灵活性或拖累英镑，欧元/英镑有望反弹至0.87

OCBC警告伯纳姆执政恐点燃英国财政忧虑，英镑承压。EUR/GBP回调或近尾声，料数月反弹至0.87；可布局看涨期权/价差，押注欧元与利差优势。

21

Jul 2026

欧元/美元守在1.1400附近，油价主导的地缘政治风险升温，市场静待欧洲央行决议

EUR/USD守1.1400上方横盘，美元回落支撑但中东风险与油价压顶。市场聚焦ZEW与周四ECB，9月加息预期升温；建议用期权跨式/对冲捕捉波动。

21

Jul 2026

美欧股市受地缘政治紧张情绪拖累走低，亚洲市场在近期抛售后反弹

地缘政治不确定+美国实质收益率走高拖累，美欧股续弱：标普三连跌、STOXX回落；亚洲却V形反弹，韩股暴涨、日股走高，A股走强，期货向好。

21

Jul 2026

英国失业率稳定在4.9%，就业人数增加；英镑小幅走高，薪资增长表现不一

英国就业与失业“双优”，ILO失业率4.9%低于预期，就业增14.7万支撑英镑。薪资温和助BoE偏鹰，GBP/USD升至1.3450，策略偏做多与卖短期看跌。

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