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29

Jul 2026

美国股指期货涨跌互现；中东紧张局势升温，市场静待美联储利率决议

中东冲突再起、沙特油设遇袭推升供给忧虑，美股期货分化；市场押注美联储按兵不动但加息概率升温，建议用利率与原油期权对冲，并布局价值多、科技空。

29

Jul 2026

希腊失业率降至8%，提振欧元前景并收窄主权债券利差

希腊6月失业率降至8%创里程碑，劳动力更紧推ECB暂缓激进降息；欧元或偏多，希德国债利差收窄，主权风险降，金融旅游ETF看涨可关注。

29

Jul 2026

美元指数料在101.80附近见顶，夏季淡静期流动性偏薄令交易员保持谨慎

美元指数成短线风向标：现货101.80、期货101.57疑似筑顶，指标转负偏空；若有效突破需改观。淡季流动性降，宜控仓，待9月回暖再搏第四季行情。

29

Jul 2026

英国M4货币供应增速6月达5%，市场上调对英伦银行鹰派立场预期

英国6月M4同比升至5%触发市场警报：流动性回流、通胀压力或再抬头，英央行料更鹰。建议做空2026年12月SONIA、看10年Gilt走高，偏好GBP/USD看涨期权。

29

Jul 2026

英国6月消费信贷激增至95亿英镑，超预期并挑战英伦银行降息押注

英国6月净贷款暴冲至95亿英镑，较预期高40亿，显示消费与房市韧性强。通胀风险或再起，BOE或更久高利率：做多GBP、做空SONIA与短债。

29

Jul 2026

英国6月抵押贷款批准量超预期，提振住房贷款与利率前景

英国6月按揭批准58.2千宗超预期，住房信贷韧性意外。市场押注降息或延后：可布局SONIA期货做空、英镑偏多；房企利润受压，买FTSE地产看跌对冲。

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