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29

Jul 2026

意大利5月工业销售增长加速，进一步加剧欧元与欧元区债券收益率压力

意大利5月工业销售同比飙升5.3%（前值3.2%），彰显制造业需求韧性。欧元与欧债收益率或承压上行，ECB降息或更谨慎；关注EUR/USD期权与FTSEMIB波动交易。

29

Jul 2026

奥地利制造业PMI升至51.5，支撑欧元并提振ATX前景

奥地利7月制造业PMI升至51.5，扩张动能确认！中欧复苏或撑欧元、利好ATX周期股；债市收益率或上行，关注EUR/USD看涨、Bund看跌策略。

29

Jul 2026

中东紧张局势推高油价，市场风险偏好回落，焦点转向美联储决议

中东冲突升级叠加美联储决议前夕，风险偏好降温：油价反弹4%重回81美元上方，美元谨慎、澳元承压；期权策略关注原油波动、债市趋平与黄金防御布局。

29

Jul 2026

市场聚焦美联储年底前或加息一次，短期加息概率回落

市场押注年底至少加息一次、明年或再收紧，但6月通胀转软与能源价回落降温预期。关键看FOMC不加息也否维持鹰派，牵动美元与欧元走势。

29

Jul 2026

市场预计美联储年底前加息一次，近期加息概率回落

降息还是更鹰？市场押注年内至少一次美联储加息、明年续紧；能源回落与通胀转弱降温行动概率。焦点：FOMC不动仍放鹰，美元与欧元/美元或急震。

29

Jul 2026

亚洲芯片股暴跌拖累韩国综合指数；伊朗疑虑推高油价小幅上扬，澳元受疲弱CPI拖累走低

半导体抛售拖累亚洲：Kospi 月跌33%触发停牌，SK海力士业绩后仍暴挫。中东风险推油价期权需求。澳洲软CPI压澳元、降RBA加息预期；聚焦美联储与美元波动。

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