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4

Aug 2026

受干预传闻与美国数据提振美元，美元/瑞郎反弹至0.8100

美元兑瑞郎周一反弹0.27%至0.8100，传美日干预与美伊停火撑美元。守50日均线偏多；上破0.8150看0.8207，失守0.8037恐探0.7954。

4

Aug 2026

纽元/美元守在0.5870附近，美国数据提振美元，纽西兰就业报告发布前市场观望

纽美0.5870胶着：美元因ISM制造业PMI跳升走强，美债息上行；油价回落撑风险偏好。聚焦纽西兰就业/工资与中国服务业PMI，或引爆突破，期权宜跨式+下行保护。

4

Aug 2026

在美伊会谈希望缓解风险溢价之际，油价下挫；美国工厂指标优于预期带动美元走强

油价因美伊重启谈判预期崩跌7.4%，美元随ISM走强；黄金守4,000。策略：WTI熊市认沽价差、黄金长看涨；做空美日、逢高空英镑，并买澳纽认沽迎数据。

4

Aug 2026

霍姆斯指出，黄金“恐惧与热爱”交易正受债务问题、日元套利交易平仓及AI金属需求上升推动

黄金新一轮行情要来了？Holmes称恐惧+爱之交易撑需求，债务与一带一路推升金价；日圆去杠杆或致抛售；AI基建拉动铜；模型指金未来60日上涨概率85%。

4

Aug 2026

中国 mBridge 央行数字货币（CBDC）网络携手 CIPS 以更低成本的跨境结算挑战 SWIFT

重磅：中国拟推区块链跨境支付mBridge，批发型CBDC直结算，交易达4700亿；费用或仅SWIFT一半，配合CIPS削弱美元，或引发汇率波动与黄金走强。

4

Aug 2026

阿根廷7月税收增至22万亿比索，较6月加速增长

阿根廷7月税收达22万亿比索，较6月20.017万亿增9.9%，释放财政盈余强化信号。债券利差或压缩、比索趋稳、ADR期权机会浮现，投资者可关注布局。

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