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10

Aug 2026

澳元兑日元走高，日元因日本贸易逆差意外扩大而走弱；市场静待澳洲联储决议

AUD/JPY升至112.25，日元因经常账转亏、财政忧虑走弱；RBA料维持4.35%。策略：短期买AUD/JPY看涨，配价外看跌抗BoJ偏鹰或干预波动。

10

Aug 2026

英镑兑日元走高，干预影响消退、套息交易延续，英国GDP数据公布前市场情绪偏向买盘

GBP/JPY反弹至214.70，日元结构性偏弱、利差撑套利，干预效应有限。建议维持多头，用看涨期权/牛市价差控风险；关注英Q2 GDP，强于预期或冲破215。

10

Aug 2026

受霍尔木兹海峡航运风险及中东紧张局势推升，WTI油价攀升逼近79美元

霍尔木兹海峡重开谈判卡关、胡塞袭击推升地缘溢价，WTI飙3%至78.8美元。CTA翻多但基金净多头回落；美钻机增至454座，短线波动或再升温。

10

Aug 2026

澳元/美元瞄准突破100日均线，澳洲联储偏鹰派按兵不动或引发空头回补

AUD/USD守稳200日均线并创更高高低点，短升趋势确立但动能放缓。盯紧RBA鹰派按兵不动，或引爆空头回补，上看0.7120至0.7275，关键支撑0.6920。

10

Aug 2026

Freedom Holding营收跃升40%但费用激增，挤压季度净利润

Freedom Holding营收飙40%至7.325亿却遭开支吞噬，净利降至3,170万。财报“强弱交错”或掀波动：短线卖出价外信用价差收权利金，长线留意LEAPS捕捉并购扩张。

10

Aug 2026

欧元/美元持稳于1.1550附近，疲弱美国非农就业数据令市场焦点转向CPI

EUR/USD 回落至 1.1550 但技术面仍偏多：非农转负削弱美联储鹰派预期，Sentix 转正助欧元。关注周三美国 CPI；守 1.1520/1.1484，突破 1.1581 上看 1.1644。

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