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13

Aug 2026

美元在7月CPI公布后回落，随后因市场对9月美联储加息押注降温而反弹

CPI落地美元先挫后稳，DXY守住100关口；9月加息定价降至9bp。能源高价与霍尔木兹风险仍悬，宜区间交易、卖波动，并配低成本油价尾部对冲。

13

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎跌至0.8130附近，瑞士通缩持续与美国加息预期降温拖累走势

USD/CHF回落至0.8130终结三连涨。瑞士PPI延续通缩利好瑞郎；美国CPI偏软下调9月加息概率压美元。但中东紧张或推升避险美元，期权布局看涨价差与短跨式。

13

Aug 2026

随着市场对日本央行加息押注升温，日元走强，美元/日元逼近160，干预风险在前

日元因BoJ或提前加息小幅走强，美元/日元逼近160触发干预警报。9月议息前波动料升，建议用短天期put spread或敲出期权控风险。

13

Aug 2026

美元走强，CPI符合预期；杰克逊霍尔年会前，市场对美联储加息押注仍偏鹰派

CPI符合预期却打脸“更热”押注，美元趁仓位回补走强；核心通胀三个月年化1.6%压波动。利率定价仍偏鹰、12月押加息，聚焦纪要、PPI及海湾局势。

13

Aug 2026

美股再创新高，投资者关注资金轮动转向估值偏低的中国A50交易

美股创新高但估值偏紧，AI一旦降温回调敏感；中国A50深度折价却资金未回流。CHA50/US500配对成资金风向标：美股短期call追动能，中国用长期牛市价差低成本埋伏。

13

Aug 2026

霍尔木兹海峡航运量下降推动WTI升破82美元，尽管OPEC下调原油需求预测

霍尔木兹海峡通行骤降至6艘引爆供应中断忧虑，WTI升至82美元；但OPEC下调需求增速，波动恐加剧。关键位80支撑、82.54/86.11阻力，期权策略可布局。

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