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17

Aug 2026

DBS称美元/日元逼近160之际，日圆干预风险再现，华盛顿提供政治掩护

星展：市场紧盯日本护盘日圆，忽略美元外溢。华盛顿以FIMA扩容作政治掩护与流动性支持，美元/日圆逼近160仍存突袭式干预；交易宜以短期看跌期权防波动。

17

Aug 2026

美元走软、市场押注美联储暂停加息，黄金守住涨幅；交易员关注4,506美元阻力位

金价回升至4,401美元，美元走弱与9月不加息概率升至70%成推手；技术守4,385支撑、目标4,506。美伊僵局推高油价，建议谨慎偏多，期权对冲。

17

Aug 2026

受霍尔木兹风险、战略石油储备（SPR）下调及期货贴水结构影响，WTI升破82美元，油市趋紧

WTI升至82美元，霍尔木兹风险与俄炼厂遇袭推高供应忧虑；SPR跌破3亿桶削弱压价能力。曲线维持现货升水，建议偏多：回调买call、做多跨期价差，并配牛市价差。

17

Aug 2026

瑞典央行料维持利率在1.75%不变，通胀低于目标令瑞典克朗承压

通胀略超预期，瑞典央行仍料第七次按兵不动1.75%，仅保留年末加息余地。鹰派难撑克朗，建议布局SEK走弱：做多EUR/SEK期权或做空期货。

17

Aug 2026

加拿大CPI料跌破2%，核心通胀亦走低；美国关税威胁令加元承压

关税+低通胀双夹击！加拿大7月核心CPI料续低于2%，BoC加息预期或下修；美拟对近200亿美元加货征50%税，触发CAD抛售，策略偏多USD/CAD。

17

Aug 2026

中东风险升温，布伦特油价坚守90美元附近；供应趋紧推升铜价创历史新高

中东冲突与霍尔木兹袭击忧虑撑油价，资金转偏多；美国产量上调需对冲。铜创新高、库存急降推近月多；黄金加码防波动。谷物俄供充足，小麦宜空，玉米大豆减多。

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