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18

Aug 2026

美元指数跌破100点，押注美联储降息升温；紧张局势推升油价与金价

美元跌破100关口逼近两月低点，降息预期升温；伊朗言论推油价涨2%WTI近84，黄金重返4,400。策略：买欧元看涨、做多油金期权，留意英薪资。

18

Aug 2026

美国6月净国债资本流入小幅升至1335亿美元，支撑美元需求

6月美国净TIC流入升至1335亿美元，资金续买美债美股。钩子：美元支撑更稳？关注做多美元、押注长端收益率下行与标普偏多期权结构。

18

Aug 2026

美国6月长期TIC净流入高于预期，支撑美元韧性并抑制美债收益率上行

海外钱又涌入美国：6月长期TIC净流入1727亿美元，超预期213亿。外资需求强劲或撑美元、压美债收益率，并为美股短线下行提供缓冲。

18

Aug 2026

美元/新元走低，1.2765支撑位成焦点，1.2830料限制上行空间

USD/SGD 反弹仍偏弱，短线恐再测 1.2775；守 1.2765 则横盘，跌破看 1.2740。Fed 降息+MAS 偏强新元，建议熊市认沽价差或 1.2815 逢高做空。

18

Aug 2026

美元回升至17.00，墨西哥披索走软，市场聚焦墨央行会议纪要与零售销售数据

美元走稳与地缘风险助 USD/MXN 反弹重返 17.03，尽管美通胀、零售走弱。Banxico 纪要与墨西哥零售将引爆波动；期权跨式、17.37 逢高做空成焦点。

18

Aug 2026

欧元/美元伺机突破，美元跌破100关口；期权聚焦美联储暂停加息与欧洲央行鹰派立场

欧元/美元触及1.1614后或迎持续突破，DXY跌破100引发量化抛售。用价外看涨/牛市价差瞄准1.1700；警惕中东油价黑天鹅，跨式/勒式赌周三数据波动。

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