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19

Aug 2026

EIA数据显示美国原油库存增加440万桶，施压WTI并扩大期货升水结构

EIA：截至8月14日美国原油库存暴增440.5万桶，逆市场预期减60万桶，偏离500.5万桶。夏季需求旺季现盈余，WTI短压；可考虑10月熊市认沽价差与跨期价差布局。

19

Aug 2026

美联储会议纪要显示通胀仍处高位，持不同意见者推动加息；市场押注暂停升息，美元指数走低

FOMC纪要通胀仍高、分歧加剧，9月加息定价降至34%。DXY徘徊98.90-99.46，策略趁反弹做空，关注杰克逊霍尔引爆波动与期权机会。

19

Aug 2026

中国7月经济活动不及预期打击增长希望，人民币支撑减弱，美元兑离岸人民币（USD/CNH）小幅走高

7月中国数据失速：工业增4.5%、零售偏弱，三季度开局动能转淡。财政或加码、债券与基建前置。结汇支撑降温，USD/CNH或上破6.75；期权、波动率与铜偏空应对。

19

Aug 2026

欧元/美元触及6月高位，美债回购拖累美元及长期收益率走低

美财政部加码回购压低长债收益率，美元走弱推欧元/美元创6月新高1.1653。叠加ECB 9月加息预期，期权/期货多头机会浮现，关注FOMC纪要与1.1580止损。

19

Aug 2026

印尼央行维持利率在5.75%，印尼盾稳定主导政策，UOB料后续仍有加息空间

印尼央行8月按兵不动守5.75%，焦点转向印尼盾与金融稳。汇率稳但外部震荡未止，UOB料2026Q4再升息两次至6.25%，建议短期限权对冲。

19

Aug 2026

美国财政部将把长期国债回购规模翻倍至每次40亿美元，以提振市场流动性

美财长端回购加码：9月9日起长期国债流动性支持回购单次从20亿增至至少40亿美元，聚焦10-20年与20-30年，吸纳非新券，料压低长端波动。

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