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20

Aug 2026

美国初请失业金人数低于预期，强化美联储维持利率不变预期，推升美债收益率与美元押注

初请降至20.6万低于预期，劳市韧性爆表！或逼美联储延后降息：做空长债（买TLT认沽）、卖标普价外沽赚波动回落、买美元指数认购押美元走强。

20

Aug 2026

美国财政部将长期国债回购规模加倍；美元回落、金价飙破4,500美元，收益率短暂降温

美财长突把10–30年期回购翻倍，短线压低美债收益率、美元走弱，金价冲破4,500；惟40万亿债务与油价通胀压力未解，鹰派纪要令波动续。

20

Aug 2026

受美国国债收益率与美元在财政部回购推动的涨势后企稳影响，金价走低；油价上涨

美债收益率与美元企稳拖累金价自4527回落至4457；财政部回购仅短暂缓解。策略：金用短期限熊市认沽价差防守4380；做空美债、短天期美元看涨；油价受霍尔木兹风险或破90。

20

Aug 2026

MUFG人工智能提示7月FOMC会议纪要偏鹰派，但美元持续走低趋势未改

AI 解读 7 月纪要略偏鹰却难改降息定价：通胀黏性仍受关注，AI 投资或推需求但关税压力消退。DXY 守 101.20，策略偏逢高沽美元、用短期期权与曲线变陡布局。

20

Aug 2026

美股期指走势分化，联储会议纪要引发观望；美债回购提振谨慎情绪，霍尔木兹紧张局势升温

FOMC纪要偏鹰、美债回购加倍、霍尔木兹风险升温，美股期货分化。策略：做多美债看涨、美元偏空，标普波动率交易，原油看涨与指数看跌对冲。

20

Aug 2026

随着印度央行维持利率并逐步退出FCNR(B)计划，印度经济增长料降温至6.7%

印度增长放缓但通胀受控，RBI料维持5.25%并8月底结束FCNR(B)。卢比靠7000亿储备护航：可卖USD/INR波动率、短端OIS偏多，并用油金看涨期权防风险。

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