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20

Aug 2026

道指随美债收益率在强劲美国数据后攀升而走低；沃尔玛重挫，油价走高

道指失守53,000边缘、跌逾400点；费城联储与初请数据强却难救风险偏好。美债收益率冲高压估值，沃尔玛重挫拖累。建议防御：买近月道指Put，能源Call对冲。

20

Aug 2026

英国通胀推动英镑走强；市场计入英央行收紧预期，美元走软

英镑受英国通胀回升与市场押注英伦银行12月前加息提振，GBP/USD冲上1.3639创2月新高；RSI超买警示回调，关注零售与PMI成转折点。

20

Aug 2026

美国四周期国库券收益率小幅上升至3.64%，短端借贷成本略有走高

美国4周T-bill拍卖得标收益率升至3.64%，较前场3.625%高1.5基点：美元短端流动性偏紧，或引发STIR与SOFR期货重定价，对冲宜转向熊市趋平。

20

Aug 2026

贝森特暗示将扩大美国国债回购，预计赤字将见顶且财政整顿在望

贝森特放话：美债回购或扩至40亿美元以上，意在纠偏收益率却称非为降息；赤字或见顶、财政整顿升温。通胀预期走低，美元与10年息率稳中偏升，衍生品布局关注长端上限与波动回落。

20

Aug 2026

在霍尔木兹海峡风险及美伊紧张局势支撑油价风险溢价之际，WTI上涨逼近86美元

WTI升至85.85美元、逼近87.38三周高位，地缘风险溢价续撑；霍尔木兹与曼德海峡或限航运，维持上行波动。交易员可布局看涨期权/牛市价差，留意85支撑与83.5止损。

20

Aug 2026

瑞典央行维持利率于1.75%，通胀回稳走强，提示地缘政治风险及年末可能加息

瑞典央行按兵不动！政策利率维持1.75%，称经济与通胀优于预期但就业转弱；核心通胀近2%且高于预测。地缘风险添变数，仍保留年内加息空间。

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