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26

Aug 2026

美国7月核心PCE维持在3.3%，支持市场对美联储政策保持稳定的预期

美国7月核心PCE同比3.3%符合预期，通胀轨道稳定，美联储9月料延续审慎。市场松口气，隐含波动率或回落；关注卖波动、铁鹰与日历价差，利率押窄幅震荡。

26

Aug 2026

美国收益率下跌抑制波动性，助力套息交易；澳元因CPI走高而上扬

贝森特出手后，美债长端回落、波动降温，套息交易再成“香饽饽”；澳元因CPI走强押注11月加息。今晚PCE、7年债拍卖与杰克逊霍尔或再掀风浪。

26

Aug 2026

印度卢比料重开走强，油价回落、美债收益率下跌，杰克逊霍尔会议将至

油价回落与霍尔木兹紧张降温，印度卢比假期后或强势回归，USD/INR看向95.40！杰克逊霍尔前慎防美联储讲话引爆波动。

26

Aug 2026

在霍尔木兹通道谈判及美国原油库存增加拖累下，WTI续跌至80美元下方

WTI跌破80至79.5美元，伊朗与阿曼谈重开霍尔木兹降风险溢价；EIA料库存四连增。策略：买近月认沽/熊市价差，售短CALL赚theta，控损82，目标75。

26

Aug 2026

英伟达财报将揭晓，市场聚焦季度营收冲刺1000亿美元及AI基础设施融资持续升温

英伟达财报在即，市场押注营收逼近1,000亿美元！同时豪掷千亿布局AI基建融资，非上市证券激增致估值更敏感；期权预期波动8%-10%，策略偏价差与铁秃鹰。

26

Aug 2026

贝森特消息后美债收益率下滑；油价下跌、美元走软，市场静待PCE数据、国债拍卖及沃什演讲

美债长端收益率回落10-15bp、油价跌8%压低波动；盯PCE、7年标售与杰克逊霍尔。策略：卖短跨式、买DXY看跌/欧元看涨，澳元做风险逆转，关注英伟达财报波动坍塌。

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