Live Updates

31

Aug 2026

黑森州8月CPI升至3%，加剧欧洲央行鹰派预期并推动市场对冲押注

黑森州8月CPI按年升至3%超预期，欧元区通胀更黏；料欧央行维持高利率更久。策略：做空Bund期货、买EUR/USD近月看涨、用DAX看跌对冲。

31

Aug 2026

阿联酋呼吁霍尔木兹局势降温，无人机拦截推高油价与航运市场风险溢价

霍尔木兹紧张升温：阿联酋拦截伊朗无人机，呼吁降温并恢复航运。海峡输送全球五分之一能源，原油与航运保险波动恐扩大，期权与波动率工具成对冲重点。

31

Aug 2026

市场关注德国通胀初值与美国就业数据，中东紧张局势推升油价大涨

油价破90美元、通胀与非农成关键催化剂：德国/欧元区HICP待揭晓；美联储9月加息五五波。策略：买布油看涨、欧元看跌、短端利率对冲。

31

Aug 2026

在美伊紧张局势推动油价走强之际，印度卢比走软；美元/印度卢比在关键技术位附近企稳

美伊紧张推高油价，拖累印度卢比开盘走弱，USD/INR 逼近95.53阻力。美国非农临近、暂停加息概率降至39.4%，美元需求升温；交易员可布局原油与汇率看涨期权。

31

Aug 2026

菲律宾金价回落，投资者回调后转向关注衍生品

菲律宾金价周一回落：每克PHP8,881.94、每盎司PHP276,266。我们视为回调买点，建议3-6周看涨期权/牛市价差，央行买盘与降息预期支撑后市。

31

Aug 2026

在美联储鹰派立场与伊朗紧张局势打压金价之际，黄金在4,400美元附近企稳

黄金失守4,400后小反弹但偏空：沃什鹰派推升9月/12月加息预期，美元与地缘冲突抬升通胀压制金价；技术破位、RSI超卖，关注NFP与支撑4,346。

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