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31

Aug 2026

在鹰派美联储押注与美伊紧张局势拖累下，金价企稳于4,450美元附近

黄金周一徘徊4,450美元：美联储9月加息概率飙至61%推升美元，金价跌破200日均线转弱；美伊冲突升温仅部分托底。支撑看4,400/4,310。

31

Aug 2026

比利时第二季度GDP停滞，提振市场对欧洲央行降息押注并加大欧元下行风险

比利时次季GDP按季零增长，欧元区动能停滞信号强烈；押注ECB 9月更积极降息：做多Euribor期货、扩大利差交易，并买EUR/USD看跌期权布局欧元走弱。

31

Aug 2026

希腊失业率小幅降至7.9%，缓解欧洲央行降息压力

希腊7月失业率降至7.9%创里程碑，经济韧性或减轻ECB降息压力；欧元看涨、希腊债券利差续收窄可期，银行股与地中海ETF期权成新机会。

31

Aug 2026

美元走强带动美元/日元升破160关口，沃什推升美债收益率，中东局势紧张加剧通胀风险

Warsh撑美元推高美债息，美元/日圆破160创7月来新高但未站稳；市场押注联储9月加息60%、日央收紧80%。油价重返90美元，波动与通胀升温。

31

Aug 2026

黑森州8月CPI升至3%，加剧欧洲央行鹰派预期并推动市场对冲押注

黑森州8月CPI按年升至3%超预期，欧元区通胀更黏；料欧央行维持高利率更久。策略：做空Bund期货、买EUR/USD近月看涨、用DAX看跌对冲。

31

Aug 2026

阿联酋呼吁霍尔木兹局势降温，无人机拦截推高油价与航运市场风险溢价

霍尔木兹紧张升温：阿联酋拦截伊朗无人机，呼吁降温并恢复航运。海峡输送全球五分之一能源，原油与航运保险波动恐扩大，期权与波动率工具成对冲重点。

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