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31

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎走低，美元动能减弱；美伊紧张局势升温之际，市场对美联储加息的押注上升

USD/CHF 跌至0.8080，美元动能转弱但9月加息概率65%，美伊紧张推升瑞郎避险；关注ISM与非农。策略：短期买put对冲，中期用10月牛市价差押反弹。

31

Aug 2026

加元在接近公允价值水平企稳，加拿大央行决议与就业数据引导美元/加元区间走势

想捕捉美元/加元下一波？加元守稳1.3920公允值，利差压制涨跌幅；关注周三BoC按兵不动及周五就业增1.5万。阻力1.3980/1.4000、支撑1.3845与1.3820。

31

Aug 2026

沃什主导的外汇波动令欧元兑美元、英镑兑美元下行风险成焦点，白银走势分化且WTI原油突破走高

Warsh引爆汇市震荡：EURUSD、GBPUSD偏空，严设止损；白银或先“扫止损”再转跌，目标28；WTI确认走强看80；MAG7估值高，9月防回调。

31

Aug 2026

美元/新元走强促使区间中性观点：1.2705–1.2780区间波动，上方关键阻力为1.2780

美元兑新元升至1.2754，短线转中性，料守1.2705–1.2780区间、阻力1.2780。S$NEER偏强与美联储降息压制上行，策略偏区间与逢高沽美元。

31

Aug 2026

荷兰合作银行预计加拿大央行将维持利率在2.25%，市场押注年底前再度收紧政策

市场押注年底前加息17bp，但Rabobank料加央行9月按兵不动、2.25%持平至2027。出口撑GDP仍脆弱；关税与能源推高通胀。交易：收固定/买CORRA。

31

Aug 2026

沃什警示可能进一步加息，杰克逊霍尔立场转向推高加息概率，收益率曲线趋于平坦

Warsh杰克逊霍尔首秀转鹰：不排除再加息，短端预期飙升、长端回落。9月就业与CPI前波动或放大，建议2/10年熊市趋平、空SOFR，并买短期限跨式。

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