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1

Sep 2026

全球债券遭抛售、日本10年期国债收益率升破3%，霍尔木兹风险推高油价

利率“更高更久”信号升温：日债10年破3%、美债高企，欧股承压；霍尔木兹紧张推油价上91；日元守160、加密走强，建议期权对冲。

1

Sep 2026

随着市场加码押注美联储加息且霍尔木兹海峡紧张推升油价，金价跌至两周低点

黄金回调至两周低点：美元走强、美债收益率冲上4.80%推升9月加息概率至65%。中东升温推油价走高；关注$4,350支撑与数据前波动，谨慎用期权控风险。

1

Sep 2026

欧元/美元自1.1570支撑位反弹，交易员权衡1.1550下行空间与1.1650阻力位

欧元/美元急跌后强弹至1.1620，但动能未明。日内料守1.1595-1.1640，关注1.1550支撑、1.1650强阻。期权：短线卖波动，三周防下探；长期看1.1800-1.1850。

1

Sep 2026

JOLTS数据即将出炉，油价飙升令美联储前景蒙上阴影，欧元/美元承压于1.1600附近

JOLTS周二揭盅、周五非农接力：岗位或偏软但油价破85美元推升通胀，降息逻辑受扰。欧元/美元守1.1600乏力，建议布署看跌与长跨式捕波动。

1

Sep 2026

美元指数反弹重回99.50上方，沃什鹰派立场、油价推升通胀及伊朗紧张局势提振押注

美元指数重返99.5上方，沃什鹰派言论、油价升破85与美伊紧张推升加息预期。关注99.70-99.75突破；上看100.44，守99.26，止损98.54。

1

Sep 2026

欧元区8月整体通胀回升、核心通胀降温，欧元在1.1595附近承压

欧元区8月HICP回升至3.3%但核心降至2.4%，欧元承压、EUR/USD跌至1.1595。背离加剧ECB决策难度，关注欧元看跌期权、Euribor收益率下行与Euro Stoxx跨式波动机会。

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