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2

Sep 2026

加拿大央行料维持利率在2.25%不变，油价风险与增长放缓主导前景展望

重磅前瞻：加拿大央行料周三续按兵不动，利率守2.25%第七次不变。增长下调、通胀上修，声明偏鹰或鸽将引爆加元短线。建议跨式期权捕捉波动。

2

Sep 2026

加拿大央行料维持利率在2.25%，贸易紧张升温推高美元/加元风险

加银料按兵不动，核心通胀仍锚定2%附近；美加贸易紧张与关税阴影压制投资就业，加元转弱。策略：买入USD/CAD价外1.400看涨/价差期权。

2

Sep 2026

随着ADP就业数据与美债回购左右美联储预期，美元成市场焦点

ADP下周揭晓，预估仅增4.7万或引爆美元波动；DXY重返200日均线挑战100阻力。叠加财长拟国债回购翻倍与Fed博弈，期权策略受关注。

2

Sep 2026

美元/印尼盾走高，美债收益率触及4.80%，伊朗紧张局势推升油价，印尼盾承压

美债息飙至4.80%+油价逼近90美元，美元续强推USD/IDR逼17,810。印尼通胀回升、央行换帅偏鹰。策略：短期看涨期权、做空债、做多原油。

2

Sep 2026

法兴银行预计在经济增长更强劲推动下，印度央行或于2027年初将回购利率上调至6%

意外转鹰！法兴料RBI三连加息共75bp，回购率至6.00%（2027初）。GDP强、Fed偏鹰推升通胀与外部稳定权重；建议OIS付固、空国债期货，卢比做多。

2

Sep 2026

卢比徘徊在近两个月低位附近，美联储加息押注与油价风险提振美元

卢比守在94.80两月低点附近：美元因美联储更鹰与油价、霍尔木兹风险走强。聚焦ADP与非农定方向；跌破94.80或看94.15。

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