Live Updates

2

Sep 2026

欧元/美元企稳，市场押注美联储加息升温；交易员布局迎接欧洲央行决议及波动率飙升

欧元/美元企稳1.1580，但美联储加息机率飙70%、中东风险撑美元。关注NFP与ECB升息。策略：买短跨式捕波动，做空价差瞄1.1500。买DXY虚值call防黑天鹅。

2

Sep 2026

ING预计欧洲央行将以“鸽派”立场加息25个基点作为“保险式”举措，能源驱动的通胀将限制进一步收紧空间

ING预计ECB下周加息25bp至2.5%，偏鸽派“保险式”收紧；通胀受能源主导，延长紧缩风险升。交易上关注暂停窗口、牛市趋平，并对冲欧元多头。

2

Sep 2026

美元/日元回落，日本央行鹰派暗示9月加息50个基点，惟美联储立场仍令汇价维持高位

日银鹰派高田放话9月或加50bp/连升，USDJPY欧洲盘回落；但市场仍押9月后暂停、受美联储撑持，或久守160–162。建议牛市价差/区间期权，警惕干预与套息平仓暴跌风险。

2

Sep 2026

美元走强，因美国与G6国债收益率利差扩大；但全球政策收紧限制上行空间

美元走强因美与G6两年期利差扩大、数据与就业稳健推高加息预期；但他区政策或转鹰缩小分化，令美元冲击新周期高点动力降温受限。

2

Sep 2026

金价在收益率回落下重返4,300美元上方，但美联储加息押注与美元走强限制上行空间

金价跌后反弹重上4,300，但美债收益率高企与9月加息概率飙至70%压制无息资产。技术偏空，NFP前宜谨慎，用看跌价差/卖虚值看涨防下行。

2

Sep 2026

尽管纽储行加息，纽元/美元仍大跌，市场焦点转向美国就业报告

纽元加息至2.75%仍跌1.45%至0.5810，指引偏鸽引爆失望。RSI超卖或短反弹，0.5820-0.5876逢高做空。周五美国非农成胜负手，季节性9月偏弱。

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