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3

Sep 2026

纽元走低：新西兰联储如预期加息，但更偏鸽的利率路径引发市场大幅重新定价

RBNZ加息至2.75%却泼冷水：仅暗示年内再加一次，利率路径遭90分钟重估，纽元急挫至0.58后反弹。关注0.5800支撑、0.5900反转。

3

Sep 2026

美元/日元自160回落，干预传闻再起，市场关注日本央行与美国数据

美元/日元破160后回落至158.50，干预传闻再起但效果短暂。利差与美数据/日央行会议主导，回调或是做多机会；关键支撑158.50/157.50。

3

Sep 2026

英镑跌破1.3500，英债供应忧虑升温及押注美联储加息支撑美元

英镑跌破1.3500抹去8月涨幅，收益率飙升反成发债焦虑。美通胀黏性推升加息概率，美元偏强。策略：反弹沽空，破1.3400或加速下探。

3

Sep 2026

WTI近守六周高位，中东风险溢价持续，焦点转向OPEC+

油价冲高回落：WTI逼近六周高位，伊朗事件推升风险溢价；EIA库存大减445万桶形成支撑。关注OPEC+与90-92阻力，期权宜做85-92区间策略。

3

Sep 2026

中东局势紧张与美联储鹰派立场推高收益率，英镑跌至三周低点

英镑兑美元跌至三周低位，徘徊1.3500；中东紧张推高油价与通胀，美债收益率高企压制。ADP偏软难撼美元，聚焦英央行与美非农，波动交易机会浮现。

3

Sep 2026

加拿大央行维持利率在2.25%，能源通胀与贸易风险促使鹰派谨慎立场

别被“按兵不动”骗了：加拿大央行利率维持2.25%，却因能源、关税与通胀风险转趋鹰派，警告或多次加息；交易转向CORRA、熊陡与跨式对冲。

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