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4

Sep 2026

美国服务业数据提振金价逼近4,540美元阻力位，比特币突破80,000美元

美国服务业PMI走强推升风险偏好：比特币重返8万美元、黄金逼近4540阻力。惟价格指数飙升示粘性通胀，Fed或更久偏紧；BTC超买、金待突破，波动恐加剧。

4

Sep 2026

伊朗战争引发能源冲击推高通胀，但对经济增长的影响仍较2022年温和，仪表板显示

伊朗战争推高油气但外溢温和，通胀仅能源上行、增长仍韧。仪表板指冲击远小于2022；策略：期权对冲供给、卖波动，央行料淡定，短端降息交易。

3

Sep 2026

英伦银行首席经济学家皮尔：在能源价格不确定性下呼吁将基准利率上调至4%

英伦银行首席经济学家皮尔力挺尽快把基准利率升至4%，称中东冲突与能源不确定性非拖延理由；警惕观望致政策落后、成本传导推高薪资物价，但极端假设勿主导判断。

3

Sep 2026

日元在干预后反弹5%，日本央行暗示可能加快加息，威胁利差交易平仓潮

日元据报两次干预后反弹5%、代价或逾千亿美元。日银或加速连番加息，恐引爆2500亿美元套息交易逆转，推升波动与避险买盘。交易员宜布局USD/JPY价外看跌及保守美债久期。

3

Sep 2026

英镑走强，沃勒释放美联储料维持利率不变信号，市场静待美国非农就业数据

沃勒偏鸽令加息概率降至54%，英镑反弹至1.3535。NFP前隐波飙8.5%，期权可布局跨式或牛市价差；英银或推利率4%，利差或利好镑。

3

Sep 2026

美联储鸽派表态提振股市与黄金，非农与通胀数据发布在即令美元承压

联储鸽派言论力挺美股与黄金、压制美元，沃勒延续基调但讯息分歧升温。黄金守住4,300、比特币近8万。明日非农与下周通胀将定短线方向。

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