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8

Sep 2026

强劲美国非农就业数据推升美联储加息押注，通胀数据公布前金价回落至4,410美元

金价回落至4,410美元，就业强劲推高美联储加息概率至60%。本周CPI/PPI或引爆波动：短线可用跨式捕捉双向，跌破4,350恐探4,260，中期仍偏多。

8

Sep 2026

花旗调查：预测墨西哥央行将维持利率在6.50%直至2027年，墨西哥比索走势分化

花旗调查：墨西哥央行料守6.50%至2027；通胀2026年4%，GDP上修至1.3%。比索先强后弱，USD/MXN 2026年底17.50、2027年底18.07，低于前值。

8

Sep 2026

美元/加元走低，油价提振加元，美联储与加拿大央行降息押注分歧扩大

油价飙升推高加元，USD/CAD 跌至1.3813。就业走弱难挡商品支撑；地缘与加息预期主导。策略：短期买入看跌、油价看涨、通胀前布局长跨式。

8

Sep 2026

美元/韩元反弹，国民年金公团或暂停远期美元卖出，荷兰国际集团预计将进入盘整阶段

韩元升值或撞上政策天花板：传NPS暂停/逆转远期卖美元，USD/KRW触1335后反弹。ING料与USD/JPY转盘整，美元卖压降，策略转中性偏多。

8

Sep 2026

越南通胀加快，贸易差距收窄，USD/VND在富时升级前趋稳

越南8月通胀升至4.9%超预期，厄尔尼诺或推高食品价；贸易逆差骤缩、盾汇稳。FTSE上调倒计时，或吸引50亿美元资金，布局做多VND与越股。

8

Sep 2026

欧元/美元企稳于1.1600上方，市场押注美联储加息升温，静待欧洲央行及美国通胀数据

欧元兑美元守稳1.1600，但四连日未破；强劲非农推升9月加息概率至58%。欧元区增长上修短冲1.1650回落，周四ECB决议、PPI/CPI与1.1650阻力成焦点。

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