Policy

6 July 2026
German Factory Orders Beat Forecasts, Bolstering Euro Outlook as ECB Stays Hawkish

German May factory orders surged 1.9%, signaling Eurozone resilience, bolstering ECB hawkishness and supporting euro upside strategies.

6 July 2026
ECB’s Moulin Says Bank in ‘Good Position’ as Markets Weigh Possible July Rate Pause

ECB’s Moulin says bank “in good position” after June hike; inflation cools, oil slumps, July uncertain.

6 July 2026
ANZ Job Ads Dip in June, Adding to Dovish RBA Bets and AUD Downside Positioning

ANZ job ads fell 0.2% in June, signaling easing demand, supporting dovish RBA bets and AUD weakness.

6 July 2026
Australia’s Melbourne Institute Inflation Gauge Falls 0.4% in June, Bolstering RBA Cut Bets

TD Securities–Melbourne Institute inflation gauge fell 0.4% in June, boosting rate-cut bets, impacting AUD, bonds, equities.

4 July 2026
China’s firmer PMI, yuan strength ease PBoC easing bets as yields edge higher

China PMIs improved, easing PBoC easing pressure; yuan strengthened as dollar weakened, yields rose, AI exports outperformed.

4 July 2026
ABN AMRO trims EUR/USD forecasts as ECB–Fed divergence grows amid French and US election risks

ABN AMRO trims EUR/USD forecasts amid ECB-Fed divergence and election risks; favors spreads, hedged longs, put-selling.

4 July 2026
RBI to tie credit-risk weights to rating agencies’ default records, setting up corporate bond repricing

RBI to link bank risk weights to rating agencies’ default histories by April 2027, reshaping credit pricing.

4 July 2026
Wells Fargo sees rising Japanese wages cementing BoJ normalisation path, September rate rise in focus

Wells Fargo sees Japan wage gains sustaining inflation, supporting BoJ normalization, September rate hike, yen strength.

4 July 2026
BoE July Hold Seen as Firms Signal Persistent UK Price and Wage Pressures, Supporting Sterling

UK firms see inflation easing but price and wage pressures persist; BoE likely hawkish hold, supporting sterling.

4 July 2026
Societe Generale warns euro zone inflation may re-accelerate as energy shock pass-through lags into 2026

SocGen says lower Brent cuts headline inflation near-term, but delayed energy pass-through may lift core, food in 2026.

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