Monthly Archives: August 2026
USD/JPY Kekal Di Bawah 160 Ketika Kebimbangan Campur Tangan Mengehadkan Kenaikan, Pedagang Menanti Isyarat Jackson Hole
Written on August 27, 2026 at 8:21 pm, by josephine
USD/JPY terkunci bawah 160 sekitar 159.30—adakah tembok 160 bakal pecah? BoJ kekal dovish, Yen lemah; AS PCE tinggi tapi Fed mungkin kekal. Strategi julat 158.40–160, lindung risiko campur tangan Jepun.
DBS menjangka Bank of Thailand mengekalkan kadar faedah pada 1.00% hingga 2026 ketika volatiliti baht berterusan
Written on August 27, 2026 at 8:20 pm, by josephine
DBS menjangka BoT kekal dovish: kadar dasar 1.00% dipertahankan hingga 2026. Pertumbuhan lembap, inflasi 0.8% ‘terjangkar’. Hujung pendek bon stabil; baht volatil—guna opsyen FX, strategi julat hasil.
Hammack memberi amaran dasar Fed mungkin kurang berkesan ketika inflasi berlarutan, menguatkan pertaruhan kadar faedah kekal tinggi lebih lama
Written on August 27, 2026 at 7:19 pm, by josephine
Isyarat hawkish di Jackson Hole: Beth Hammack tegaskan inflasi masih degil, dasar Fed belum cukup mengetat, risiko jangkaan 2% terhakis. Pedagang disaran defensif—short UST pendek, lindung SOFR put Dis 2026.
Petunjuk Ekonomi Pendahulu, Tertinggal & Seiring Dijelaskan
Written on August 27, 2026 at 6:37 pm, by josephine
Nak baca arah ekonomi sebelum pasaran bergerak? Fahami penunjuk mendahului, serentak dan mengekori: mendahului meramal, serentak mengukur, mengekori mengesahkan—membantu pedagang CFD masa masuk, saiz posisi dan kawal risiko data.
Dolar uji purata 200 hari apabila PCE kekal kukuh dan Jackson Hole semakin hampir
Written on August 27, 2026 at 6:20 pm, by josephine
Dolar AS menguji rintangan 200-DMA 99.17, namun inflasi PCE 3.7% dan perbelanjaan sebenar mendatar isyarat ekonomi rapuh. Brent bawah AS$90; Nvidia cemerlang. Pasaran tunggu Jackson Hole, risiko pivot dovish.
Tuntutan faedah pengangguran AS turun kepada 203,000, mengangkat dolar apabila hasil bon kekal kukuh dan pertaruhan pemotongan kadar faedah semakin pudar
Written on August 27, 2026 at 5:21 pm, by josephine
Tuntutan pengangguran AS jatuh ke 203,000, di bawah jangkaan—signal pasaran buruh masih kental. DXY mengukuh 99.20–99.30, hasil perbendaharaan naik; Fed cenderung “higher-for-longer”, USD berpotensi kekal menyokong.
Defisit dagangan barangan AS melebar kepada AS$118.8 bilion, cetus kebimbangan baharu terhadap KDNK dan pemotongan kadar faedah
Written on August 27, 2026 at 5:19 pm, by josephine
Defisit dagangan barangan AS Julai melebar ke -$118.8b, jauh tersasar daripada unjuran -$99b—amaran seretan KDNK 3Q. Dolar berisiko lemah, hasil Treasury turun; strategi opsyen: put USD, call Treasury, call pengeksport, put peruncit.
Inventori borong AS melonjak 1.3% pada Julai, mencetuskan kebimbangan terhadap permintaan dan prospek pertumbuhan ekonomi
Written on August 27, 2026 at 4:19 pm, by josephine
Kejutan inventori borong AS melonjak 1.3% Julai (ramalan 0.1%) menandakan stok mendahului jualan; risiko KDNK perlahan. Pasaran mungkin harga masuk Fed lebih dovish; strategi: defensif runcit, long Treasury, jangka komoditi susut.
Minyak Mentah Brent Merosot daripada AS$95 ketika Pedagang Memerhati Paras Sokongan AS$83–84 dan Lindung Nilai Opsyen
Written on August 27, 2026 at 3:19 pm, by josephine
Brent mengundur selepas gagal tembusi AS$95, kini menguji sokongan kritikal AS$83–84 (50/200-DMA). Lantunan mungkin, namun pecah bawah buka risiko susut 6–8% ke AS$75; volatiliti 25% galak strategi premium.
Cara Mengenal Pasti Paras Ayunan Tinggi dan Paras Ayunan Rendah dalam Pasaran CFD
Written on August 27, 2026 at 2:39 pm, by josephine
Mahukan bacaan trend lebih jelas? Kenali swing high/swing low untuk petakan struktur pasaran CFD, kesan pecahan, tahap sokongan-rintangan, serta rancang kemasukan, henti rugi, sasaran dan saiz posisi ikut peraturan risiko 2%.
