Live Updates

13

Mar 2026

美元在PCE通胀数据公布前走强，美元/日元上扬，日元走弱

美元/日元连涨逼近160关口，市场紧盯PCE与GDP。日本官员释放“备战干预”讯号，油价与霍尔木兹风险推升输入型通胀，期权隐波或再升温。

13

Mar 2026

1月，英国总体贸易差额大幅改善，由43.4亿英镑逆差转为39.22亿英镑顺差

英国1月贸易差额惊天逆转，顺差39亿英镑点燃英镑行情：出口超预期，降息预期降温；可布局英镑看涨、利率期货调整，并以富时100看跌对冲、跨式捕捉波动。

13

Mar 2026

根据贸易收支数据，英国非欧盟贸易逆差从109.94亿英镑收窄至34.6亿英镑

贸易缺口大缩：英国1月非欧盟贸易逆差收窄至-34.6亿英镑（前值-109.94亿），或提振英镑偏多。关注2月零售与进口下滑风险，必要可用期权布局。

13

Mar 2026

1月，英国货物贸易逆差录得144.5亿英镑，优于市场预期的222亿英镑

英国1月商品贸易赤字意外缩至-144.5亿英镑，出口/进口结构改善为英镑托底；叠加核心通胀坚挺，英央行或更鹰，利好多GBP/EUR、FTSE250期权，但需防供应链反复。

13

Mar 2026

英国1月制造业产出按月增长0.1%，不及市场预期的0.2%增幅

英国1月制造业产量仅增0.1%爆冷，早期放缓信号浮现；2月PMI跌至47.1加剧忧虑，英央行或转鸽推升降息押注，英镑偏弱、FTSE100中性可做相对价值。

13

Mar 2026

美元/加元徘徊在1.3640附近；油价走软拖累加元，尽管出口优势支撑，早前涨幅回吐

霍尔木兹海峡近乎封航，油价高位回落仍偏强；避险推升美元，USD/CAD守1.3640。聚焦Fed利率与PCE数据，波动飙升，期权对冲受捧。

13

Mar 2026

亚洲早盘交易推动纽元/美元升破0.5850，但中东紧张局势或限制进一步涨幅

纽元/美元升至0.5855却受中东战火压制；特朗普与伊朗对峙、霍尔木兹风险推升避险美元。市场紧盯美国1月PCE，软数据或利好纽元；RBNZ续宽松。

13

Mar 2026

亚洲时段交易中，XAG/USD回升至85美元，结束连续两日跌势，但本周整体表现大致持平

白银反弹重回85美元上方，终止两连跌但周线料持平。技术面仍偏空：RSI回升、MACD弱。守85.70阻力，破撑恐探82/80。

13

Mar 2026

亚洲交易时段，英镑/美元回升至1.3370，美元指数在PCE通胀数据公布前走软

英镑/美元亚盘反弹至1.3370，美元指数回吐涨幅。市场聚焦美国PCE、GDP与信心数据；中东紧张与油价撑美元。英央行或降息，政策分歧压英镑。

13

Mar 2026

澳大利亚能源部长宣布将从储备中投放最多7.62亿公升燃油，以抵消与伊朗相关的燃料供应中断

澳洲松绑最低库存，拟释放7.62亿公升燃料并降义务20%，应对伊朗冲突供应风险；WTI回落但OVX高企。关注卖期权溢价与逢低布局长约机会。

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