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Live Updates

13

Mar 2026

2月，西班牙协调消费者价格指数按月上涨0.4%，符合预期

西班牙2月HICP按月升0.4%符预期，通胀意外风险降温，强化欧元区稳价叙事。欧股隐含波动料偏低，卖方期权或有利；市场仅押注2026末一次25bp降息。

13

Mar 2026

西班牙2月消费者物价指数（CPI）环比上涨0.4%，符合预期并与预测一致

西班牙2月CPI按月升0.4%符合预期，通胀惊喜减少，ECB短期料按兵不动。欧股隐含波动与利率曲线或走软，区间策略更吃香。

13

Mar 2026

2月西班牙年度消费者通胀符合预期，CPI同比上升2.3%

西班牙2月CPI按年升2.3%符合预期，欧元区通胀延续“可预测”。波动率走低，ECB短期转向几率降；利率、股市与欧元或更适合卖波动策略。

13

Mar 2026

欧洲交易时段，WTI徘徊在每桶95.60美元附近，澳洲和日本释放石油储备

WTI徘徊95.60美元，亚洲走弱；澳洲、日本齐释储备抗中东供应冲击。霍尔木兹封锁传闻推升油价40%+。高波动下，关注看涨/看跌对冲与价差策略。

13

Mar 2026

法国巴黎银行：伊朗冲突或令通胀再起，限制欧洲央行降息空间；在温和情景下虽可能加息，但预计仍将保持谨慎

欧元区通胀降温令ECB有望降息、撑2025复苏；但伊朗冲突或扭转走势。三情景牵动油气价：缓和回落、长期不确定温和久涨、升级推通胀近4%或逼ECB加息。

13

Mar 2026

在美元走强与中东局势紧张之际，金价在美国即将公布PCE数据前回落至接近近期低位

伊朗冲突推高油价与通胀，美联储降息预期后移、美元走强压金价；但避险仍托底。关键看5,039–5,090支撑与5,160突破，波动交易或成主线。

13

Mar 2026

法国2月剔除烟草的通胀率按月上升0.6%，此前为下降0.4%

法国2月通胀环比0.6%强势反转，降息预期或被迫延后！欧央行更难转鸽，利率期货需降仓；建议CAC40买入看跌、欧元看涨，并留意做空德债对冲。

13

Mar 2026

英国数据欠佳后，英镑跌破1.3300，连续第四日下跌，兑走强美元走低

英镑/美元连跌四日失守1.3300：英国1月GDP零增长、工业产出回落拖累英镑；美元因避险与降息延后预期走强。市场紧盯PCE等数据。

13

Mar 2026

Adobe截至2月季度营收64亿美元，同比增长12%；每股收益升至6.06美元，高于5.08美元

Adobe季度营收64亿美元、EPS 6.06美元双双超预期，订阅收入增长13%成最大亮点。财报后IV料回落，期权更便宜，短期偏多情绪升温。

13

Mar 2026

丹斯克银行分析师称，美国商品贸易逆差因出口上升而收窄，但随后可能再度扩大

美国1月商品逆差缩至818亿美元，出口反弹成关键；更早数据亦意外改善，强撑美元。通胀降温强化降息预期，关注PCE、JOLTs与期权布局。

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