Live Updates

14

Mar 2026

欧元区CFTC欧元非商业净持仓降至105.1K，前值为136.5K

欧元多头撤退！CFTC显示投机者欧元净持仓降至10.51万张，周减3.14万。欧区数据转弱、ECB降息预期升温，政策分化压制EUR/USD难稳1.0800。

14

Mar 2026

日本CFTC日元非商业净持仓下降，扩大从-1.66万至-4.14万

CFTC：日元投机净持仓更偏空，净空由-16.6K扩至-41.4K。BoJ偏鸽、Fed偏鹰拉大利差，USD/JPY或续上行，但空头拥挤恐引发挤压反转。

14

Mar 2026

华侨银行策略师指出，美元/韩元逼近1,495，地缘政治紧张与能源价格走高下韩元走弱

美元/韩元逼近1,495，韩元成最弱货币之一。地缘风险与油价推升避险，技术面偏多，RSI走强；上看1,500/1,510，回落支撑1,470。可留意买入看涨期权布局。

14

Mar 2026

随着伊朗冲突加剧，油价飙升推高通胀忧虑，在美联储预期转变下美元走强

中东战事逼近两周、伊朗封锁霍尔木兹推升油价与通胀忧虑，资金涌向美元避险，DXY破100。多国央行本周密集议息，汇市与黄金原油料续剧震。

14

Mar 2026

雪佛龙（Chevron）作为2026年能源板块领先表现股，逼近近20年阻力位，主要业务布局二叠纪、圭亚那与哈萨克斯坦

雪佛龙年内飙近27%逼近2007以来月线阻力210.57美元，油价+伯克希尔加持推升。期权IV走高，押注两极：跌回160–170或确认突破续涨。

14

Mar 2026

Block Inc股价表现平稳，但财报后走势显示随后迅速飙升24%

Block（前Square）业绩后飙24%现回落逾11.5%，跳空缺口成关键位。市场盯54.60美元支撑与回补缺口机会；若失守恐回吐涨幅，交易务必先做风险管理。

14

Mar 2026

SentinelOne股价自2024年底以来下跌50%，随着跌势阻力减弱，或正出现反转迹象

SentinelOne跌超50%后首破下降趋势线，短线转强。上看17.04，先闯14.60–15阻力。可用15 Call或牛市价差捕捉反弹；失守趋势线与13.11需止损。

14

Mar 2026

中期选举季节性显示：依据收盘价走势，标普500指数或在4月见顶

中期选举年季节性再现：今年转折吻合度73%。路线图指3月中筑底、3/21冲高，随后两周回撤，4/18附近再见高点；策略用期权攻守布局。

14

Mar 2026

德国商业银行韩昊预计中国产出增速接近5.5%，但零售销售与投资增长落后

中国经济将现“两速”：工业生产料增5.5%、绿色科技出口飙21.8%，消费仅3%偏弱。资金或转向工业金属与新能源ETF，同时防御消费与地产链风险。

14

Mar 2026

中东紧张局势升温之际，DXY逼近10个月高位，涨势延续，周线有望连续两周收涨

中东局势升级推升避险与流动性需求，美元指数逼近2025年5月高位；霍尔木兹油供风险抬油价与通胀，降息预期降温、债息走高，美元或续强。

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