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Live Updates

20

Mar 2026

华侨银行新加坡银行总执行长沈慕雄：伊朗紧张局势一度令原油逼近每桶120美元，供应保证下随后回落

伊朗袭击推油价逼近120美元后回落。OCBC料布油年中前守100美元，2027初降至70。霍尔木兹风险难补；美释储压顶，期权价差与对冲成焦点。

20

Mar 2026

华侨银行（OCBC）黄克里斯托弗：金价短期承压；美债收益率走高、通胀担忧引发资金外流与抛售清仓

金价回落：美债收益率飙升、通胀顽固与油价走高削弱降息预期，黄金ETF撤资加剧抛压。短线料震荡难续涨；中期仍获地缘与央行买盘支撑。

20

Mar 2026

第四季度，墨西哥私人支出同比增长4%，此前为增长1.6%

墨西哥Q4私人支出按年飙至4%（前值1.6%），消费者韧性超预期！Banxico或延后降息，MXN看涨、USD/MXN或下探17.00；EWW与零售银行股受惠。

20

Mar 2026

墨西哥私人支出按季增长放缓至1%，第四季度前值为1.1%

墨西哥Q4私人消费按季仅增1%低于前季，内需降温信号浮现；通胀放缓令Banxico更有理由降息，削弱利差交易支撑，比索或转弱，美元兑比索或上探17.40。

20

Mar 2026

根据3月9日公布的数据，印度外汇储备从7168.1亿美元降至7097.6亿美元

外储骤降70.5亿美元至7097.6亿：印度央行为守卢比大卖美元。FPI净流出近20亿、油价90美元+推升压力，USD/INR或更震荡，期权波动率升5%，可留意买入看涨期权。

20

Mar 2026

英镑跌近1.3380，跌幅0.39%，英银鹰派立场遭遇强势美元对冲

英镑/美元冲高回落：英央行一致维持利率曾提振英镑，但美元随降息预期再定价走强。通胀降温、英银转鸽，市场押注再降息，英镑续承压。

20

Mar 2026

中国今年迄今外商直接投资增速截至2月仍为同比下降5.7%

外资还在撤！中国截至2月FDI同比仍跌5.7%未改善，信心偏弱或拖累中资股与离岸人民币；关注USD/CNH走强、恒指下压及VHSI升温机会。

20

Mar 2026

俄罗斯央行维持利率在15%，符合市场预期

俄央行锁定关键利率15%压通胀（2月仍7.8%），市场早已定价，卢布波动或降、USD/RUB料守95–97；高息拖累增长，MOEX偏空，可用认沽或虚值看涨价差对冲。

20

Mar 2026

在此前假期过后，印度卢比进一步走弱，美元/印度卢比升破94关口，资本外流加剧

USD/INR飙至94.23创新高：外资持续撤离、油价冲击与美元走强夹击卢比。RSI逼80，95成关键阻力；交易者可用看涨期权或期货布局上破。

20

Mar 2026

在能源冲击担忧之际，他认为风险厌恶情绪将推高美元、油价和债券收益率；股市下跌

战事降温言论短暂提振情绪，旋即避险回潮：美元、油价与美债收益率齐升，股市承压。利差与美元融资需求推升DXY，交易员偏多美元并加强期权对冲。

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