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24

Mar 2026

星展银行经济学家称，申某聚焦稳定，意味着韩国央行近期不会收紧政策，令韩国加息可能性不大

尹锡悦提名BIS前高管申炫松掌舵韩央行，市场却押注激进加息或已错价。聚焦5月点阵图：短端利率或下修，策略偏收固定、买KTB期货，汇股用期权防险。

24

Mar 2026

标普全球报告称，美国3月制造业PMI报52.4，高于预期并超越51的预测值

美国3月制造业PMI升至52.4远超预期，经济动能更强，市场下调夏季降息押注。利好周期股与工业ETF期权、推升短端收益率对冲需求，美元指数突破105走强。

24

Mar 2026

在美国，3月标普全球服务业PMI不及预期，录得51.1，低于预期的51.7

美国3月服务业PMI仅51.1低于预期，经济降温快；核心通胀仍高令联储两难。市场押注7月降息逾70%，VIX走升，宜对冲并转向防御板块。

24

Mar 2026

3月，美国标普全球综合采购经理指数（PMI）降至51.4，低于前值51.9

标普全球综合PMI降至51.4，扩张仍在却动能转弱：方向更难、波动或放大。关注美联储更鸽与降息预期升温，宜用跨式、VIX call及卖出价外call spread，并转向防御板块。

24

Mar 2026

Vertex制药（全球生物科技公司）或先短暂回调后强劲上行，在纳斯达克以VRTX交易

生科股VRTX周线偏多：守住2025年8月低点，突破2024年11月高点将确认第（III）浪延伸。注意（II）双三回调未完，跌破低点转风险情景。

24

Mar 2026

卡夫亨氏股价徘徊在20美元支撑位附近；投资者撤退，消息灵通的买家却趁低吸纳，期待超额回报

KHC跌近20美元关键双底支撑，7.54%高息+低估值成非AI避风港。隐波35%推高权利金，卖20美元现金担保沽或信用价差；看反弹可买22美元Call。

24

Mar 2026

道明证券的Daniel Ghali表示，随着冲击削弱全球官方部门需求，黄金牛市涨势面临上限

黄金牛市或转弱：TD称央行等官方买盘降温，能源冲击挤压亚洲顺差与购金资金；持仓拥挤升温，CTA或触发减多连锁卖出，回撤风险显著上升。

24

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）首席宏观策略师Bas van Geffen表示，欧盟正分散其联盟关系，在与南方共同市场（Mercosur）、印度及印尼推进之际，也与澳大利亚敲定自由贸易协议

欧盟与澳洲签署自贸协定：降关税、增乳制品与牛羊肉配额、保护地理标志。料10年新增年贸易200亿欧元，并强化安全防务及关键原材料合作，待欧盟议会批准。

24

Mar 2026

美国 Redbook 年度指数升至 6.7%，高于前值 6.4%

Redbook同比升至6.7%引爆市场：美国消费加速推迟Fed降息，通胀与长债收益率再走高，利率产品偏空；零售可选消费偏多、科技承压；美元指数破105成焦点。

24

Mar 2026

中东紧张局势升温、美元小幅走强、英国PMI不及预期，GBP/USD卖盘涌现

英镑/美元转跌，美元反弹叠加英国PMI逊预期；中东紧张推升避险。焦点转向美PMI与英国通胀。BoE或先降息、Fed更鹰，利差扩大会再压英镑。

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