Live Updates

1

Apr 2026

德国联邦统计局（Destatis）称：2月德国零售销售环比下跌0.6%，与预期增长0.2%相反

德国2月零售销售环比跌0.6%远逊预期、1月再下修；欧元反应平淡但增长阴霾加深，叠加PMI疲弱或逼ECB更鸽派，交易员可用EUR/USD看跌期权防守。

1

Apr 2026

美元/加元连续第七个交易日上涨，2026年触及1.3945后持稳于1.3920上方

美元连7日走强，加元承压；但特朗普拟尽快结束伊朗行动，风险偏好回升令美元回落。鲍威尔称通胀受控、收益率下跌，USD/CAD仍守1.3920上方。

1

Apr 2026

丹斯克银行预计日本通胀将上升，提振日本央行4月加息前景

东京3月核心CPI仅升1.7%低预期，燃油补贴压通胀；基础通胀回落。油价走高、日元走弱或促日央行4月加息，汇率、利率与股市对冲需求升温。

31

Mar 2026

白银守在72美元上方，从73美元中段高位回落；跌破100日均线下方空头占上风

银价自73美元中段回落仍涨3%连三日走高，但75美元100日SMA下偏空。MACD、RSI示弱；跌破69/67.85恐探63，站稳75再看80。抓紧行情！

31

Mar 2026

渣打称日本央行通胀已达目标；美元兑日元逼近160，提前加息可能性升温

USD/JPY逼近160，财务省干预阴影再现。日本潜在通胀与正产出缺口推高提前加息风险；但掉期仍押2026年前两次加息，偏离共识或触发大波动。

31

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行（Rabobank）Michael Every称，澳洲联储会议纪要提及中东不确定性，油价通胀风险下利率前景更趋不明朗

中东冲突推高油价，RBA坦言利率路径难测：油价若守100美元，澳洲CPI或冲5%。内部分歧加剧、工资仍热，交易员或可买波动率捕捉利率与澳元大幅震荡。

31

Mar 2026

德国联邦统计局（Destatis）称，2月德国零售销售环比下降0.6%，与市场预期的增长0.2%相悖

德国2月零售环比再跌0.6%远逊预期，1月下修、同比仅+0.7%，凸显消费疲弱拖累欧元区增长。欧元暂稳，但ECB偏鸽风险升温，建议用EUR/USD看跌期权防下行震荡。

31

Mar 2026

美元/加元连续第七个交易日走高，2026年触及1.3945后仍守在1.3920上方

USD/CAD连涨第七日、守1.3920上方，前高1.3945。特朗普或尽快收手伊朗战降避险，鲍威尔偏鸽压美债收益率，美元回落仍强势。

31

Mar 2026

丹斯克银行预计日本通胀将上升，提升日本央行4月加息的可能性

东京3月核心CPI仅涨1.7%低预期，补贴压通胀；剔除食品燃料升2.3%降温。油价+日元弱令4月加息概率达70%，波动率走高，日债曲线趋陡、日经需对冲。

31

Mar 2026

白银守在72美元上方，从73美元中段高位回落；跌破100日均线空头主导

白银三连升逼近72美元，但技术面仍偏空：75美元受100日SMA压制，失守69/67.85恐下探63；若收上75，空压缓解并看80。

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