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Live Updates

6

Apr 2026

欧洲交易时段，英镑上涨0.45%至约1.3255，兑美元走强

英镑兑美元升0.45%至1.3255，伊朗停火讯息点燃风险偏好、压低美元指数至99.85。英通胀偏高掣肘BoE降息，期权波动回落至7.5%，看涨英镑更划算。

6

Apr 2026

对伊朗和平计划的适度乐观情绪提振英镑兑日元，汇价在211.45附近滞涨

伊朗停火框架提振风险情绪，英镑/日圆走高但受阻211.45。RSI、MACD偏多，若日线突破或上看212.30-212.55；回落关注210.35、209.64。

6

Apr 2026

Bob Savage 表示，随着美元兑日元逼近 160、日债收益率飙升、日央行维持鹰派，日元走软

美元/日元逼近160、日元极弱，干预风险升温；日本国债收益率创数十年新高，市场押注日本央行续加息。隐含波动率攀升，期权、原油与日经成对冲焦点。

6

Apr 2026

尽管美元走弱，但情绪改善与伊朗停火预期令欧元/美元仍受制于1.1570下方

欧元兑美元因伊朗停火传闻走高，但仍困于区间。特朗普霍尔木兹“期限”引爆波动预期；美ISM与强劲非农撑美元，欧元通胀偏弱压制上行。

6

Apr 2026

Bob Savage 表示，随着美元兑日元逼近160、日债收益率攀升，以及日本央行维持鹰派立场，日元走弱

日元弱势不止，美元/日元守在160：美日利差超400bp撑强美元，日债收益率飙升、BoJ偏鹰；中东风险推高波动率，期权与做空JGB成布局与对冲关键。

6

Apr 2026

尽管美元走软，市场情绪改善及伊朗停火消息令欧元/美元仍受限于1.1570下方

欧元兑美元受中东停火传闻提振自1.1505反弹，但仍困于区间；特朗普威胁与强劲非农令市场谨慎。关注ISM服务业PMI与1.1570阻力、1.1500支撑。

6

Apr 2026

澳元/美元上涨0.5%，在美伊停火谈判期间风险偏好回升之际逼近0.6930

美伊停火谈判提振风险偏好，AUD/USD欧市升0.5%至0.6930，美元走软。关注ISM服务业、FOMC纪要与CPI。技术阻力0.6960/0.7000，支撑0.6900。RBA与铁矿石、风险情绪成关键。

6

Apr 2026

WTI原油从106.44美元回落至近101美元，据报美伊和平谈判通过中间人取得进展

WTI因伊朗45天停火与或重开霍尔木兹预期急跌至101美元但守100。特朗普威胁添波动；OPEC+减产与需求撑底。投资者警惕标题风险，期权对冲。

6

Apr 2026

澳元/美元在欧洲时段上涨0.5%，逼近0.6930；美伊停火谈判推动风险资产反弹

中东停火谈判降温避险，澳美一度冲近0.6930、美元回落。技术仍偏弱，关注美CPI与纪要。策略：区间卖宽跨收息，反弹0.6600买Put控风险。

6

Apr 2026

WTI跌破102美元，从106.44美元回落至接近101美元，因美伊和谈取得进展

WTI一度冲高106美元后急挫至101美元，市场押注美伊45天停火框架与霍尔木兹海峡重开；叠加EIA库存增、IEA降需求，波动飙升成新战场。

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