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Live Updates

14

Apr 2026

原油上涨与美元走弱推动美元/加元跌破1.3800，加元走强

油价飙升、美元走软，美元/加元跌至1.3790创一周低。霍尔木兹封锁推高WTI。聚焦BoC与PPI、FOMC前景；关键支撑1.3790/1.3680。

14

Apr 2026

华侨银行：地缘紧张推升原油与美元，亚洲货币及石油进口国货币β或走弱；霍尔木兹航运保持通畅缓解风险

中东风险与油价走强推高美元避险需求，亚洲汇市或温和偏弱开盘。高贝塔、净进口油货币（KRW/THB/PHP/INR）承压；CNH/SGD更抗跌，偏好AUD胜EUR，并建议以期权防守。

14

Apr 2026

星展银行经济学家黄国威预计金管局将撤销此前宽松措施，使新元名义有效汇率（SGD NEER）政策区间回归正常化

霍尔木兹能源供应冲击叠加美伊谈判破裂，油价飙升推高输入型通胀。星展料MAS或撤回早前宽松、重新居中或调高NEER斜率；布局新元走强，警惕美元避险制约。

14

Apr 2026

油价上涨之际，金价回落，引发通胀忧虑升温，央行对降息保持谨慎

金价回吐0.2%跌至4,734，油价飙升催生通胀忧虑；美封锁霍尔木兹、特朗普强硬言论拖累美元。关注ADP与PPI，4,750阻力、4,700支撑。

14

Apr 2026

尽管在伊朗—美国会谈破裂及传出霍尔木兹海峡可能关闭的报道后市场避险情绪升温，美元仍走弱

中东紧张却美元走软？DXY回落推升欧元英镑澳元，日元偏强；油价跌至98.9美元、黄金徘徊。本周聚焦IMF会议及中美欧英关键数据。

14

Apr 2026

德国商业银行的阮秋兰表示，伊朗拟对霍尔木兹海峡征收人民币通行费的计划不太可能重塑能源贸易格局

伊朗拟用人民币征收霍尔木兹通行费，看似“石油人民币”加速？我们认为更多是政治姿态：对美元冲击有限，却或推高地缘风险与情绪波动，交易宜布局短期波动与油价期权。

14

Apr 2026

法兴银行Dev Ashish预计哥伦比亚民调将倾向右派进入第二轮投票，促使市场保持谨慎

法兴评估哥伦比亚大选：首轮或无过半、进入决选。右翼若整合推共主，巴伦西亚/德拉胜算压过左翼塞佩达；但分裂、CNE调查与财政压力令市场谨慎。

14

Apr 2026

澳元/美元强劲反弹，协议希望提振风险偏好，中东紧张局势下美元强势趋缓

澳元兑美元跳空后反弹至0.7089，但美联储偏鹰、RBA转温和，加上中国贸易萎缩拖累商品价，汇价料偏弱；波动温和，买入看跌期权博0.64。

14

Apr 2026

丹斯克银行分析师称，尽管整体成本上升，丹麦消费者3月剔除能源后的支出仍有所增加

丹麦3月核心实际消费劲增：环比+1.2%、同比+3.8%，零售杂货回暖、服务走强；油价升未挤压支出，或促央行更鹰、降息推迟，利好消费股。

14

Apr 2026

霍尔木兹封锁启动之际，特朗普称伊朗寻求达成协议，并赞扬副总统JD·万斯的斡旋努力

特朗普称伊朗来电想谈协议，却强调霍尔木兹封锁已启动；金价、美元与美股震荡。投资者或布局VIX、原油长期call、股指put与黄金对冲升级风险。

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