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Live Updates

5

Sep 2026

墨西哥比索走强推动美元/墨西哥比索逼近两年新低，交易员关注16.74支撑位

USD/MXN逼近两年低位，RSI偏空强化下行动能，关注16.74破位后看16.52/16.26；反弹需重返17.00。比索受高利差、FDI与近岸外包支撑。

5

Sep 2026

马来西亚国家银行将利率维持在2.75%，在大宗商品推动的通胀风险上升下政策指引转趋鹰派

BNM按兵不动维持OPR2.75%，声明删“适当”转向偏鹰，警惕成本与需求推升通胀；经济与出口强劲支撑林吉特走强，建议做空USD/MYR并布局IRS付息。

5

Sep 2026

强劲美国非农就业数据提振，美元/瑞郎走高，但在0.8100下方受限，交易员关注关键价位水平

美国强劲非农提振美元，USD/CHF 上破50日均线后回吐至0.8100下方受压；技术偏多但疑区间震荡：上看0.8150/0.8207，下守0.8000/0.7949。

5

Sep 2026

在美元走软、美国国债收益率下行支撑下，印尼盾走强，印尼央行“稳定优先”立场获支撑

美元与美债收益率回落支撑印尼盾，央行“稳定优先”强化外资吸引力。USD/IDR或缓跌，关注17,620/17,444；上方17,710-17,800止损，油价高企警惕反弹。

5

Sep 2026

中国私营服务业PMI回升，需求与官方指标仍显滞后，缓解对央行政策宽松压力

民营服务业PMI跳升至51.4，综合景气回暖但官方口径仍收缩；内需偏弱令权益上行受限。降息紧迫性下降，人民币短期趋稳，关注期权、利率互换与大宗对冲。

5

Sep 2026

英镑走软，美国就业数据超预期推升美联储9月加息概率；英镑/美元维持在1.35附近

爆款非农推升9月美联储加息概率至61%，美元走强压制英镑；GBP/USD守1.3476–1.3375支撑。策略：熊市看跌价差1.3500/1.3350，叠加宽跨式对冲双向波动。

5

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者将日元净空头头寸增至9.22万张合约，空头加码加深

警惕日元做空拥挤：CFTC 显示非商业净持仓降至-9.22万（前值-6.33万），净空扩张强化贬值预期；利差驱动下轧空与波动率上行风险抬升。

5

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，大型投机者将标普500指数期货净空头头寸扩大至7.59万份合约

警惕回撤：CFTC显示标普500期货非商业净持仓降至-75.9千张（前值-68千），净空加码。叠加9月季节性弱势与波动抬升，建议强化期权对冲与价差策略。

5

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者将英镑净空头头寸扩大至49,600份合约

CFTC显示英镑非商业净持仓降至-49.6k，净空头增5.1k；机构加码看空，降息预期削弱收益率优势。警惕逼近-50k触发GBP/USD技术性加速下跌。

5

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，投机资金削减黄金多头仓位，动能降温，或步入盘整阶段

CFTC数据显示黄金非商业净多头降至228.1千手，投机敞口收缩6.2%。市场动能短期降温或引发回调；在宽松预期支撑下，上行趋势仍存，策略偏震荡布局。

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