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Live Updates

18

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示，黄金投机客削减净多头头寸，暗示金价短期或进入盘整期

CFTC显示黄金非商业净多头降至186.7K，投机资金温和撤退或致金价短线整理。降息预期与央行购金支撑中期，多建议期权价差、卖虚值看跌布局。

18

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着持仓趋于中性，标普500净空头头寸回落

CFTC显示标普500净空头收窄至-3.89万张，空头回补加速；卖压边际减弱、下行风险收敛。关注进一步回补或触发突破，策略宜转多或中性偏多。

18

Jul 2026

美元/新元汇率在1.2905附近企稳，星展集团提示区间震荡走势及跌破1.2860的风险

USD/SGD 跌后企稳1.2905附近，UOB指24小时区间1.2890-1.2920。1-3周偏弱，1.2860失守或触发下探；1.2930突破缓释。建议期权区间收权利金，破位转向看跌或做空。

18

Jul 2026

英镑下挫：油价推升的通胀担忧升温，令英国央行政策前景更趋复杂

地缘政治推升油价重燃通胀黏性担忧，英镑兑美元连跌至1.3449；英银政策路径更趋复杂。隐含波动率抬升，建议短期限保护性Put对冲，并配置布油Call平衡风险。

18

Jul 2026

市场屏息以待欧洲央行决议、英国通胀数据及全球PMI公布之际，美元走强、油价上行

高波动窗口开启：ECB决议、英欧通胀就业与全球PMI将牵动汇市商品。美元指数100.80徘徊；警惕日元干预风险；期权跨式布局欧元、黄金与原油波动。

18

Jul 2026

在美伊紧张局势推升通胀担忧、令美联储加息预期维持高位之际，金价小幅走高

地缘冲突升级推升能源与通胀预期，黄金周五反弹至4,013美元。然10月加息定价抬升、技术偏空，4,125–4,175阻力显著，警惕回测4,000支撑。

18

Jul 2026

道指跌破52,000点后反弹，受鹰派加息预期及财报季临近影响

道指震荡回落至5.225万点附近，宏观数据分化叠加密歇根信心回升、通胀预期走弱；利率期货转向鹰派定价。技术面52,600承压，失守52,000或下探51,400。

18

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎自0.8150高点回落，瑞郎走强，长期上行趋势仍保持完好

美元兑瑞郎冲高回落，0.8150受阻暗示动能降温但上行结构未破。交易或转区间震荡，宜铁鹰/宽跨收权利金；破0.8150则看向0.8300，切多头期权。

18

Jul 2026

贝克休斯数据显示：美国石油钻机数增至452座，超预期，令原油价格前景承压

贝克休斯美国活跃油钻机452座超预期446，供给扩张预期升温或压制WTI；建议以短期限看跌期权、跨式策略对冲下行与波动，并收紧止损。

18

Jul 2026

美元指数在住房韧性抵消建筑许可及工业产出走弱影响下，持稳于100.70附近

美元指数回吐涨幅持平100.70，住宅开工与信心回升对冲许可及产出疲弱；通胀预期回落、技术阻力101.03支撑100.65，建议区间策略铁鹰及看跌期权。

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