Live Updates

27

Jul 2026

油价回落缓解通胀担忧，金价持稳于4,103美元附近，市场静待美联储、英国央行与日本央行议息会议

金价连涨逼近4,103美元创历史门槛，油价回落缓解通胀与加息预期，但央行决议与核心PCE等数据密集来袭，黄金波动率或显著走扩。

27

Jul 2026

欧元/美元重返1.1400，美元因美伊局势降温走弱且美联储决议临近

美伊冲突降温压低油价与加息预期，美元回落助欧元兑美元重上1.1400。聚焦FOMC前后波动率交易：先买短期限跨，后布局卖波策略捕捉波动率塌陷。

27

Jul 2026

美伊局势缓和引发WTI回落，但航运风险支撑原油维持在84美元附近

WTI看跌跳空回落至84美元，地缘风险溢价因美伊降温收缩、隐含波动率下滑抬升多头期权风险；但红海与霍尔木兹供应扰动支撑，宜牛市卖出价差并紧盯EIA库存。

27

Jul 2026

日本企业服务价格涨幅放缓，继续对日本央行政策正常化构成压力

日本6月CSPI同比3.2%略回落但仍高企，服务通胀黏性强化政策正常化预期；建议中期押注收益率上行、逢高做空JGB期货，并以跨式期权布局日元波动。

27

Jul 2026

美元/日元持稳，油价回落支撑日元；伊朗局势紧张之际，美联储与日本央行会议临近

USD/JPY连跌至163.60，避险回落与油价下行支撑日元；中东供应扰动、日政局与美日央行决议料触发波动率飙升，建议跨式及虚值看涨对冲。

27

Jul 2026

中国人民银行将美元/人民币中间价设定得更为坚挺至6.7911，政策制定者力求稳定人民币

中间价升至6.7911强化稳汇率信号，配合LPR下调抑制美元强势与资本外流；衍生品可布局短久期USD/CNY看跌期权，关注CNH流动性收紧及RRR、MLF变动。

27

Jul 2026

市场关注原油下跌，美国与伊朗暂缓对峙缓解通胀担忧并令美元走软

美伊互停打击令油价跳水5%，通胀与加息预期降温、美元回落；但曼德海峡与霍尔木兹航运承压，建议运用布油期权价差、VIX与保护性看跌对冲风险。

26

Jul 2026

纳斯达克早盘涨势再度消退，科技股领涨轮动，沙特遇袭推升油价

纳指盘前强、开盘回落重演，科技轮动致芯片与云厂商分化，风险偏好降温且高收益信用停滞；沙特遇袭推升油价。警惕夏末5%-8%回撤，逢反弹布局看跌期权与能源看涨。

26

Jul 2026

COT报告显示育肥牛市场现极端看涨情绪，纽元则急转极端看跌

COT显示育肥牛多头极值创近两年新高并突破百期区间，商业盘活牛增仓；纽元商业净空一年最大且回落；白银投机拥挤，大豆偏空测试阻力。

25

Jul 2026

随着日元与欧元空头仓位加码，外汇持仓转趋防御；WTI原油反弹

原油强势反弹引爆跨资产共振，外汇仓位转向防御：投机资金加码WTI净多；日元、欧元净空扩张，澳元存挤空风险，英镑修复乏力。

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